Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, Santiago de Chile

Palestino

0 - 0

Gremio

Our Tip

Match Events

Perez L.

15'

Roco E.

17'

Carlos Vinicius

Penalty Missed

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Palestino

15%

Draws

26%

Gremio

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palestino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Palestino carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Palestino have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

Palestino Clean Sheet 68%

Gremio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Palestino	Gremio
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	11
Draws	6	8
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.43	1.3
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.43	1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Gremio vs Palestino

2:0

Apr 30, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Palestino vs Gremio

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palestino 41 / 100

Gremio 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Palestino Gremio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palestino Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palestino's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gremio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Palestino stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Gremio lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palestino VS Gremio

1.86 Goals Scored 0.88

1.43 Goals Conceded 1

86% Over 1.5 50%

71% Over 2.5 38%

29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Palestino

(Home)

12 Sept

Palestino

2 : 3

U. Catolica

06 Sept

Palestino

2 : 1

U. De Concepcion

28 Aug

Cobresal

2 : 0

Palestino

23 Aug

O Higgins

0 : 1

Palestino

18 Aug

Palestino

5 : 1

Huachipato

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Gremio

(Away)

20 Sept

Gremio

0 : 0

Palmeiras

16 Sept

Botafogo RJ

3 : 2

Gremio

12 Sept

Gremio

1 : 2

Vasco

07 Sept

Vitoria

1 : 0

Gremio

03 Sept

Gremio

3 : 1

Internacional

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