Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palestino vs Limache

Chile Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Tapia Paez G.
5' Event
Arturia M.
19' Event
Castro D.

AI Match Summary

The Copa de la Liga game between Palestino and Limache finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palestino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Palestino
33%
Draws
27%
Limache
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Palestino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Palestino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Palestino's way, sitting at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa de la Liga fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Palestino here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Palestino Clean Sheet 68%
Limache Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palestino Limache
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Palestino vs Limache
3:2
Apr 12, 2026 Liga de Primera
Palestino vs Limache
1:0
Mar 26, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Limache vs Palestino
1:1
Nov 3, 2025 Liga de Primera
Palestino vs Limache
2:1
May 18, 2025 Liga de Primera
Limache vs Palestino
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palestino Compare

Top Goalscorer Tapia Paez G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Limache Compare

Top Goalscorer Arturia M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palestino 50 / 100
Limache 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palestino Limache

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Limache conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Palestino scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Palestino stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palestino VS Limache
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo64209:514
2Colo Colo63128:510
3Huachipato62226:68
4D. Concepcion60156:131
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nublense64209:314
2U. Catolica632113:711
3U. De Concepcion61147:114
4Cobresal61146:144
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1O Higgins642011:614
2Everton62138:97
3Limache61327:86
4Palestino61239:125
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union La Calera64117:313
2A. Italiano632112:911
3U. De Chile622212:78
4La Serena60156:181