Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palmas vs Bela Vista-TO

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Diogo Tiburcio
22' Event
Adalgisio Pitbull
30' Event
Caio S.

AI Match Summary

Bela Vista-TO in this Tocantinense matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bela Vista-TO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Palmas
30%
Draws
41%
Bela Vista-TO
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bela Vista-TO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Bela Vista-TO have won more games recently than Palmas.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Bela Vista-TO have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Palmas Clean Sheet 20%
Bela Vista-TO Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmas Bela Vista-TO
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Bela Vista-TO
2:5
Mar 12, 2023 Tocantinense
Bela Vista-TO vs Palmas
3:0
Mar 5, 2022 Tocantinense
Bela Vista-TO vs Palmas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmas Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marques C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Bela Vista-TO Compare

Top Goalscorer Diogo Tiburcio
2 Goals
Assists Leader Caio S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmas 31 / 100
Bela Vista-TO 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmas Bela Vista-TO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bela Vista-TO's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Palmas scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Palmas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palmas VS Bela Vista-TO
2.38 Goals Scored 1.14
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmas

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
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Bela Vista-TO

(Away)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
22 Feb
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
Araguaina
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
07 Feb
Uniao Carmolandense
3 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
01 Feb
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 0
Capital FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 7 6 1 0 10:1 19
2 Uniao Carmolandense 7 4 1 2 12:5 13
3 Gurupi 7 4 1 2 10:6 13
4 Capital FC 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
5 Araguaina 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
6 Bela Vista-TO 7 2 2 3 8:14 8
7 Palmas 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
8 Guarai SC 7 0 2 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Tocantinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Tocantinense 2 2027 (Main)