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Palmas vs Cerrado

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2020 game between Palmas and Cerrado finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palmas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Palmas
20%
Draws
30%
Cerrado
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palmas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palmas come out ahead of Cerrado on wins alone.
  • Palmas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Palmas here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Palmas Clean Sheet 20%
Cerrado Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmas Cerrado
Matches Played 33 17
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.67 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.33 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2020 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Cerrado
4:1
May 29, 2019 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Cerrado
1:0
May 21, 2019 Tocantinense
Cerrado vs Palmas
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmas 85 / 100
Cerrado 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmas Cerrado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Palmas found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Cerrado let in goals in 71% of their last 17 matches.

Solid form: Palmas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Palmas VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmas

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
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Cerrado

(Away)
08 Mar
Interporto
5 : 1
Cerrado
29 Feb
Cerrado
0 : 3
Tocantinopolis
22 Feb
Palmas
4 : 1
Cerrado
18 Feb
Capital FC
4 : 1
Cerrado
15 Feb
Cerrado
1 : 0
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 7 6 1 0 18:3 19
2 Interporto 7 5 1 1 20:5 16
3 Tocantinopolis 7 4 1 2 11:9 13
4 Araguacema 7 3 2 2 12:8 11
5 Capital FC 7 2 0 5 6:13 6
6 Nova Conquista 7 1 3 3 4:11 6
7 SD Sparta 7 1 1 5 4:9 4
8 Cerrado 7 1 1 5 4:21 4
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2020 (Play Offs)