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Palmas vs SD Sparta

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2018
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AI Match Summary

Palmas in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palmas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Palmas
28%
Draws
50%
SD Sparta
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Palmas at 3 per game, SD Sparta at 0.67.
  • SD Sparta are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Palmas have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Palmas Clean Sheet 20%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmas SD Sparta
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 3 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2020 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Palmas
0:1
May 16, 2018 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Palmas
2:2
Apr 7, 2018 Tocantinense
Palmas vs SD Sparta
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmas 24 / 100
SD Sparta 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmas SD Sparta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SDS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmas found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (36 games).

SD Sparta has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Palmas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palmas VS SD Sparta
3 Goals Scored 0.67
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Interporto1257017:722
2Tocantinopolis1263319:1421
3Palmas1255218:1120
4Gurupi1254323:1019
5SD Sparta1243518:1715
6Araguaina1236313:1315
7Paraiso EC1200120:360