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Palmas vs SD Sparta

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2018
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AI Match Summary

Palmas in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palmas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Palmas
35%
Draws
35%
SD Sparta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Palmas at 1.67 per game, SD Sparta at 1.36.
  • SD Sparta are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Palmas have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Palmas Clean Sheet 20%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmas SD Sparta
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.67 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2020 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Palmas
0:1
May 16, 2018 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Palmas
2:2
Apr 7, 2018 Tocantinense
Palmas vs SD Sparta
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmas 24 / 100
SD Sparta 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmas SD Sparta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Sparta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmas found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (36 games).

SD Sparta has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Palmas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palmas VS SD Sparta
3 Goals Scored 0.67
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmas

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
Page 1 of 8

SD Sparta

(Away)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Interporto 12 5 7 0 17:7 22
2 Tocantinopolis 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
3 Palmas 12 5 5 2 18:11 20
4 Gurupi 12 5 4 3 23:10 19
5 SD Sparta 12 4 3 5 18:17 15
6 Araguaina 12 3 6 3 13:13 15
7 Paraiso EC 12 0 0 12 0:36 0
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 (Play Offs)