Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palmas vs Tocantinopolis

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Daniel

AI Match Summary

The Tocantinense game between Palmas and Tocantinopolis finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tocantinopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Palmas
20%
Draws
51%
Tocantinopolis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Palmas haven't matched Tocantinopolis's recent run of results.
  • Tocantinopolis are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tocantinopolis here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Palmas Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmas Tocantinopolis
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 13
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Tocantinopolis
0:1
Feb 18, 2023 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Palmas
3:0
Feb 5, 2022 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Tocantinopolis
1:2
Dec 24, 2021 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Palmas
3:1
Dec 21, 2021 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Tocantinopolis
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Tocantinopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmas 12 / 100
Tocantinopolis 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmas Tocantinopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Palmas scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Tocantinopolis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Palmas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tocantinopolis
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmas

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
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Tocantinopolis

(Away)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 7 6 1 0 10:1 19
2 Uniao Carmolandense 7 4 1 2 12:5 13
3 Gurupi 7 4 1 2 10:6 13
4 Capital FC 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
5 Araguaina 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
6 Bela Vista-TO 7 2 2 3 8:14 8
7 Palmas 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
8 Guarai SC 7 0 2 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Tocantinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Tocantinense 2 2027 (Main)