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Palmas vs Uniao de Palmas

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Tocantinense 2 2025 game between Palmas and Uniao de Palmas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao de Palmas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Palmas
20%
Draws
30%
Uniao de Palmas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palmas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Palmas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Palmas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Palmas here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Palmas Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao de Palmas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmas Uniao de Palmas
Matches Played 33 18
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 1
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.64 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.36 3.06
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Palmas vs Uniao de Palmas
6:0
Nov 22, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Uniao de Palmas vs Palmas
1:4
Nov 1, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Palmas vs Uniao de Palmas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmas 85 / 100
Uniao de Palmas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmas Uniao de Palmas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Uniao de Palmas conceded in 94% of 18 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Palmas found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Palmas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palmas VS Uniao de Palmas
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmas

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
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Uniao de Palmas

(Away)
26 Sept
Taquarussu
1 : 2
Uniao de Palmas
19 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 3
Sao Jose (TO)
12 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
3 : 0
Uniao de Palmas
06 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
0 : 10
Guarai SC
28 Nov
Palmas
6 : 0
Uniao de Palmas
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
2 Uniao de Palmas 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
3 Alvorada 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
4 Interporto 4 2 2 0 11:2 2
5 Taquarussu 4 0 0 4 2:19 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarai SC 4 4 0 0 18:2 12
2 Paraiso EC 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
3 Central Tocantinense 4 2 1 1 8:7 1
4 Araguaia (TO) 4 1 0 3 4:10 -6
5 Tocantins 4 0 0 4 0:12 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2025 (Play Offs)