Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palmeira vs Ultramarina

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Krampah E.
73' Event
Furtado W.
90' Event
Furtado W.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2025 game between Palmeira and Ultramarina finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palmeira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Palmeira
20%
Draws
11%
Ultramarina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palmeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palmeira come out ahead of Ultramarina on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Palmeira's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Palmeira Clean Sheet 20%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeira Ultramarina
Matches Played 34 39
Wins 20 11
Draws 12 9
Losses 2 19
Goals Scored 1.59 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.59 0.39
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Palmeira vs Ultramarina
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeira Compare

Top Goalscorer Furtado W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Krampah E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.8

Ultramarina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeira 85 / 100
Ultramarina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeira Ultramarina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Palmeira scored in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Ultramarina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 39 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Palmeira has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Palmeira VS Ultramarina
1.38 Goals Scored 0.4
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.8
50% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeira

(Home)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Palmeira
3 : 1
SC Africa Show
20 Jun
SC Africa Show
1 : 0
Palmeira
14 Jun
Palmeira
2 : 1
Boavista da Praia
06 Jun
Santo Crucifixo
0 : 3
Palmeira
Page 1 of 7

Ultramarina

(Away)
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0
Ultramarina
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1
Academica Praia
02 May
Palmeira
3 : 0
Ultramarina
26 Apr
Mindelense
2 : 1
Ultramarina
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boavista da Praia 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
2 Palmeira 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
3 Sanjoanenses 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
4 Paulense 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
5 Mindelense 6 2 4 0 12:8 10
6 Academica Praia 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
7 Sport Sal-Rei 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
8 Ultramarina 6 1 2 3 3:9 5
9 Scorpion Vermelho 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
10 Botafogo 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2025 (Play Offs)