Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palmeiras U17 vs Vasco U17

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U17 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Vinicius
19' Event
Gabriel J.
64' Event
Luccas Ramon
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras U17 in this Brasileiro U17 2025 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Palmeiras U17
15%
Draws
32%
Vasco U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palmeiras U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Palmeiras U17 have won more games recently than Vasco U17.
  • 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Palmeiras U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmeiras U17, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Palmeiras U17 Clean Sheet 19%
Vasco U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras U17 Vasco U17
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 23 11
Draws 1 7
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 3.1 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Palmeiras U17 vs Vasco U17
3:1
Jun 25, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Vasco U17 vs Palmeiras U17
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Vasco U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras U17 31 / 100
Vasco U17 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras U17 Vasco U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeiras U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeiras U17 scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Palmeiras U17 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Vasco U17 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras U17 VS Vasco U17
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeiras U17

(Home)
09 Sept
Gremio U17
1 : 2
Palmeiras U17
05 Sept
Palmeiras U17
1 : 0
Fortaleza U17
02 Sept
Palmeiras U17
3 : 2
America MG U17
27 Aug
Fluminense U17
2 : 3
Palmeiras U17
20 Aug
Palmeiras U17
4 : 1
Cruzeiro U17
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Vasco U17

(Away)
08 Sept
Botafogo RJ U17
4 : 2
Vasco U17
05 Sept
Vasco U17
4 : 0
Gremio U17
02 Sept
Atletico GO U17
3 : 5
Vasco U17
25 Aug
Internacional U17
1 : 0
Vasco U17
18 Aug
Vasco U17
3 : 0
EC Juventude U17
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Palmeiras U17 3
Vasco U17 1
Bragantino U17 2
Gremio U17 4
Athletico-PR U17 4
Fluminense U17 3
Flamengo RJ U17 1
Atletico-MG U17 2
Semi-finals
Palmeiras U17 1
Gremio U17 2
Athletico-PR U17 2
Atletico-MG U17 3
Final
Gremio U17 4
Atletico-MG U17 5