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Palmeiras U20 vs Corinthians U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20 Arena Barueri
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras U20 play Corinthians U20 in the Brasileiro U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Palmeiras U20 averaged 2.55 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Corinthians U20 averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Palmeiras U20 won 5, Corinthians U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 8, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Palmeiras U20 and 1.31 for Corinthians U20. This points to a Palmeiras U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Palmeiras U20
17%
Draws
31%
Corinthians U20
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Palmeiras U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Palmeiras U20 picked up more points recently compared to Corinthians U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Palmeiras U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Corinthians U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras U20 Corinthians U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 2.55 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Corinthians U20 vs Palmeiras U20
0:1
May 19, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Corinthians U20 vs Palmeiras U20
0:1
Jul 5, 2025 Paulista U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Corinthians U20
3:0
Apr 24, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Corinthians U20
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 Paulista U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Corinthians U20
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras U20 50 / 100
Corinthians U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras U20 Corinthians U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Palmeiras U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Palmeiras U20 attacking → ← attacking Corinthians U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeiras U20 scored in 100% of their last 29 games.

Corinthians U20 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Palmeiras U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Corinthians U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 49
3.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88