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Palmeiras U20 vs Corinthians U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20 Arena Barueri, Barueri
Palmeiras U20 Logo

Palmeiras U20

3 - 1
FT
Corinthians U20 Logo

Corinthians U20

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sub
Dias L. In: Pires S.
Out: Dias L.
29' Event
Luiz Fernando
32'
Gui Negao
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Palmeiras U20
20%
Draws
35%
Corinthians U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palmeiras U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Corinthians U20 haven't matched Palmeiras U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Palmeiras U20 a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Palmeiras U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmeiras U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Palmeiras U20 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Palmeiras U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Corinthians U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras U20 Corinthians U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 2.47 1.87
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Corinthians U20
3:1
Jul 8, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Corinthians U20 vs Palmeiras U20
0:1
May 19, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Corinthians U20 vs Palmeiras U20
0:1
Jul 5, 2025 Paulista U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Corinthians U20
3:0
Apr 24, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Corinthians U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Teresa
2 Goals
Assists Leader Heittor Vinicius
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Corinthians U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Fernando
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras U20 67 / 100
Corinthians U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras U20 Corinthians U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeiras U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Palmeiras U20 scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Palmeiras U20 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Corinthians U20 let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras U20 VS Corinthians U20
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeiras U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Palmeiras U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
21 Sept
Ituano U20
1 : 1
Palmeiras U20
16 Sept
Palmeiras U20
10 : 0
Naviraiense U20
12 Sept
Palmeiras U20
3 : 0
Sfera U20
08 Sept
Agua Santa U20
1 : 2
Palmeiras U20
Page 1 of 6

Corinthians U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Corinthians U20
2 : 0
XV de Jau U20
21 Sept
XV de Jau U20
2 : 3
Corinthians U20
12 Sept
Corinthians U20
4 : 0
America SP U20
04 Sept
Sao Bento U20
0 : 0
Corinthians U20
21 Aug
Corinthians U20
1 : 2
CA Juventus U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Palmeiras U20 4
Corinthians U20 1
Bragantino U20 4
Athletico-PR U20 1
Vasco U20 2
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 2
Santos U20 4
Semi-finals
Palmeiras U20 5
Bragantino U20 3
Vasco U20 3
Santos U20 2
Final
Palmeiras U20 1
Vasco U20 2