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Palmeiras U20 vs Guarani U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Juan Gabriel
51' Event
Antonio
78' Event
Luis Saboia

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palmeiras U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Palmeiras U20
20%
Draws
40%
Guarani U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Palmeiras U20 average 2.48 goals a game right now, well clear of Guarani U20's 1.91.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Palmeiras U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Palmeiras U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Palmeiras U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Guarani U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras U20 Guarani U20
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 25 25
Draws 5 3
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 2.48 1.91
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Paulista U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Guarani U20
4:0
Aug 9, 2023 Paulista U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Guarani U20
6:0
Aug 1, 2023 Paulista U20
Guarani U20 vs Palmeiras U20
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luis Saboia
2 Goals
Assists Leader Juan Gabriel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Guarani U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras U20 40 / 100
Guarani U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras U20 Guarani U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeiras U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeiras U20 found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Palmeiras U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Guarani U20 let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras U20 VS Guarani U20
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeiras U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Palmeiras U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
21 Sept
Ituano U20
1 : 1
Palmeiras U20
16 Sept
Palmeiras U20
10 : 0
Naviraiense U20
12 Sept
Palmeiras U20
3 : 0
Sfera U20
08 Sept
Agua Santa U20
1 : 2
Palmeiras U20
Page 1 of 7

Guarani U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Guarani U20
4 : 1
Uniao Suzano U20
18 Sept
Uniao Suzano U20
1 : 1
Guarani U20
12 Sept
Gremio Prudente U20
1 : 5
Guarani U20
04 Sept
Guarani U20
3 : 0
XV de Jau U20
21 Aug
Guarani U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)