Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palmeiras vs LDU Quito

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo
Palmeiras Logo

Palmeiras

1 - 0
FT
LDU Quito Logo

LDU Quito

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Estrada M.
22'
Cornejo F.
26' Event
Giay A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-3. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Palmeiras
35%
Draws
31%
LDU Quito
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to LDU Quito lately — more wins on the board than Palmeiras.
  • Model gives Palmeiras a 34% chance of winning this.
  • LDU Quito arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmeiras, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 68%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras LDU Quito
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 16
Draws 11 9
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.77 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Copa Libertadores
LDU Quito vs Palmeiras
3:3
Sep 9, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Palmeiras vs LDU Quito
1:0
Oct 31, 2025 Copa Libertadores
Palmeiras vs LDU Quito
4:0
Oct 24, 2025 Copa Libertadores
LDU Quito vs Palmeiras
3:0
Apr 21, 2009 Copa Libertadores
Palmeiras vs LDU Quito
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Giay A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

LDU Quito Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras 59 / 100
LDU Quito 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras LDU Quito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeiras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeiras scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Palmeiras went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: LDU Quito conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras VS LDU Quito
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeiras

(Home)
20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0
Palmeiras
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
12 Sept
Palmeiras
2 : 0
Sao Paulo
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0
LDU Quito
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Palmeiras
Page 1 of 6

LDU Quito

(Away)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0
LDU Quito
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Corinthians 1
Independiente del Valle 1
Flamengo RJ 3
LDU Quito 3
Palmeiras 4
Platense 2
Fluminense 3
Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P. -
Flamengo RJ -
Palmeiras -
Fluminense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -