Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo

Palmeiras

2 - 1

Sporting Cristal

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Murilo

Assist: Allan Elias

41'

Gonzalez J.

Assist: Avila I.

59'

Sub

Castro M. In: Gonzalez S.

Out: Castro M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Palmeiras

30%

Draws

40%

Sporting Cristal

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Palmeiras carry the better recent record into this one.
40% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Cristal taking it.
Palmeiras have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Palmeiras, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Palmeiras have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Palmeiras Clean Sheet 15%

Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Palmeiras	Sporting Cristal
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	15	14
Draws	12	5
Losses	4	11
Goals Scored	1.74	1.53
Goals Conceded	0.74	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras

0:2

Apr 16, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal

2:1

May 29, 2025 Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal

6:0

Apr 3, 2025 Copa Libertadores

Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras

2:3

Apr 18, 2013 Copa Libertadores

Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Murilo

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sporting Cristal Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras 27 / 100

Sporting Cristal 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Palmeiras Sporting Cristal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Cristal Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Palmeiras scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Palmeiras has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sporting Cristal has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras VS Sporting Cristal

1.5 Goals Scored 2.5

0.63 Goals Conceded 1

50% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeiras

(Home)

20 Sept

Gremio

0 : 0

Palmeiras

16 Sept

LDU Quito

3 : 3

Palmeiras

12 Sept

Palmeiras

2 : 0

Sao Paulo

09 Sept

Palmeiras

1 : 0

LDU Quito

06 Sept

Botafogo RJ

0 : 0

Palmeiras

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Sporting Cristal

(Away)

27 Sept

AD Tarma

0 : 1

Sporting Cristal

19 Sept

Sporting Cristal

3 : 1

Atletico Grau

13 Sept

Moquegua

1 : 2

Sporting Cristal

06 Sept

Sporting Cristal

5 : 0

Los Chankas

30 Aug

Sport Boys

1 : 0

Sporting Cristal

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