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Palmeiras W vs Independiente del Valle W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-7. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Palmeiras W at 1.83 goals for, 0.76 against; Independiente del Valle W at 1.21 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Palmeiras W have won 1 to Independiente del Valle W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2022, ending 0:7. Model xG sits at 0.92 vs 0.42, favoring Palmeiras W. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Palmeiras W
35%
Draws
32%
Independiente del Valle W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palmeiras W come out ahead of Independiente del Valle W on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Palmeiras W taking it.
  • Palmeiras W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Palmeiras W Clean Sheet 20%
Independiente del Valle W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras W Independiente del Valle W
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 16 5
Draws 8 3
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.83 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2022 Copa Libertadores Women
Independiente del Valle W vs Palmeiras W
0:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras W 36 / 100
Independiente del Valle W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras W Independiente del Valle W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Palmeiras W scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Independiente del Valle W conceded in 64% of 14 recent games.

Palmeiras W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras W VS Independiente del Valle W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.33
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.33
50% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeiras W

(Home)
05 Sept
Palmeiras W
1 : 2
Bahia W
01 Sept
Bahia W
1 : 1
Palmeiras W
26 Aug
Palmeiras W
4 : 1
Bragantino W
22 Aug
Cruzeiro W
0 : 0
Palmeiras W
16 Aug
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
EC Juventude W
Page 1 of 6

Independiente del Valle W

(Away)
15 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
1 : 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba W
11 Oct
Ferroviaria W
3 : 0
Independiente del Valle W
08 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
5 : 0
Always Ready W
05 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
1 : 0
Indep. Santa Fe W
02 Oct
Corinthians W
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle W
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Caracas W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Colo Colo W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras W 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Independiente del Valle W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 CA Belgrano de Cordoba W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Universitario de Deportes W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Olimpia Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 LDU Quito W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bolivar W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional W W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 U. De Chile W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dep. Cali W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Libertad Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)