Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palmeiras W vs Sao Paulo W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Emily Assis

AI Match Summary

The Paulista Women game between Palmeiras W and Sao Paulo W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palmeiras W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Palmeiras W
30%
Draws
43%
Sao Paulo W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Paulo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Paulo W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Palmeiras W taking it.
  • Regular Paulista Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Palmeiras W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Palmeiras W Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras W Sao Paulo W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 21
Draws 9 4
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.69 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Paulista Women
Palmeiras W vs Sao Paulo W
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Palmeiras W
3:0
Nov 5, 2025 Copa do Brasil Women
Sao Paulo W vs Palmeiras W
0:4
Sep 28, 2025 Paulista Women
Sao Paulo W vs Palmeiras W
0:3
Jun 4, 2025 Paulista Women
Palmeiras W vs Sao Paulo W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Emily Assis
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sao Paulo W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras W 42 / 100
Sao Paulo W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras W Sao Paulo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Palmeiras W scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Palmeiras W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Sao Paulo W conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras W VS Sao Paulo W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeiras W

(Home)
05 Sept
Palmeiras W
1 : 2
Bahia W
01 Sept
Bahia W
1 : 1
Palmeiras W
26 Aug
Palmeiras W
4 : 1
Bragantino W
22 Aug
Cruzeiro W
0 : 0
Palmeiras W
16 Aug
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
EC Juventude W
Page 1 of 7

Sao Paulo W

(Away)
03 Oct
Sao Paulo W
1 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
19 Sept
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
CR Flamengo W
12 Sept
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
05 Sept
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Gremio W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria W 7 5 1 1 15:5 16
2 Palmeiras W 7 5 1 1 13:3 16
3 Corinthians W 7 4 1 2 20:8 13
4 Sao Paulo W 7 4 0 3 7:7 12
5 Santos W 7 2 3 2 6:6 9
6 Bragantino W 7 1 4 2 5:13 7
7 Taubate W 7 1 1 5 8:15 4
8 Mirassol W 7 0 1 6 2:19 1
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)