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Palmese 1914 vs A.C.D. Nardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Palmese 1914 Logo

Palmese 1914

4 - 2
FT
A.C.D. Nardo Logo

A.C.D. Nardo

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Trombino A.
25' Event
Sarrica A.
40' Event
Puntoriere M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Palmese 1914 in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palmese 1914.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Palmese 1914
20%
Draws
36%
A.C.D. Nardo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palmese 1914

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Palmese 1914 at 1.23 per game, A.C.D. Nardo at 1.06.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Palmese 1914 taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and A.C.D. Nardo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Palmese 1914 Clean Sheet 16%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmese 1914 A.C.D. Nardo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 12
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Palmese 1914 vs A.C.D. Nardo
4:2
Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Palmese 1914
3:2
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Palmese 1914 vs A.C.D. Nardo
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Palmese 1914
4:1
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Palmese 1914 vs A.C.D. Nardo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmese 1914 Compare

Top Goalscorer Romano M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Puntoriere M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

A.C.D. Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Trombino A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarrica A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmese 1914 41 / 100
A.C.D. Nardo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmese 1914 A.C.D. Nardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Palmese 1914's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: A.C.D. Nardo conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Palmese 1914 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palmese 1914 VS A.C.D. Nardo
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmese 1914

(Home)
04 Oct
Palmese 1914
4 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
01 Oct
Juve Stabia
4 : 1
Palmese 1914
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4
Real Normanna
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Palmese 1914
Page 1 of 6

A.C.D. Nardo

(Away)
04 Oct
Palmese 1914
4 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0
Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Nocerina 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
3 Martina Calcio 6 4 0 2 12:7 12
4 Bisceglie 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
5 Turris 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
6 Gravina 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
7 Manfredonia 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
8 Real Normanna 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
9 Brindisi 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Ebolitana 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
11 Real Forio 2014 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 San Felice Gladiator 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Palmese 1914 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
14 A.C.D. Nardo 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
15 Melfi 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
16 Fidelis Andria 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
17 Francavilla 6 1 0 5 3:7 3
18 Ischia 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)