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Palmese 1914 vs ASD Ugento - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Manu D.
78' Event
Virgilio R.

AI Match Summary

Palmese 1914 in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palmese 1914.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Palmese 1914
15%
Draws
46%
ASD Ugento
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASD Ugento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Palmese 1914 have won more games recently than ASD Ugento.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Palmese 1914 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Palmese 1914 Clean Sheet 20%
ASD Ugento Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmese 1914 ASD Ugento
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 12 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.19 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Palmese 1914 vs ASD Ugento
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group H
ASD Ugento vs Palmese 1914
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmese 1914 Compare

Top Goalscorer Manu D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Virgilio R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

ASD Ugento Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmese 1914 36 / 100
ASD Ugento 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmese 1914 ASD Ugento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASD Ugento's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Palmese 1914 scored in 59% of their last 37 outings.

Palmese 1914 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palmese 1914 VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmese 1914

(Home)
04 Oct
Palmese 1914
4 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
01 Oct
Juve Stabia
4 : 1
Palmese 1914
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4
Real Normanna
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Palmese 1914
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ASD Ugento

(Away)
11 May
ASD Ugento
0 : 1
Manfredonia
04 May
Virtus Francavilla
1 : 1
ASD Ugento
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4
Matera
17 Apr
Citta di Fasano
0 : 2
ASD Ugento
13 Apr
ASD Ugento
2 : 0
Martina Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)