Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paloma vs ETSV Hamburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 game between Paloma and ETSV Hamburg finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paloma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Paloma
15%
Draws
27%
ETSV Hamburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Paloma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Paloma's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Paloma have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Paloma Clean Sheet 10%
ETSV Hamburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paloma ETSV Hamburg
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 16 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.45 3.15
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs ETSV Hamburg
3:2
Oct 31, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Paloma
1:1
Mar 14, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Paloma
2:3
Sep 29, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs ETSV Hamburg
4:2
Apr 1, 2024 Club Friendly
Paloma vs ETSV Hamburg
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paloma 83 / 100
ETSV Hamburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paloma ETSV Hamburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paloma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paloma's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Paloma stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

ETSV Hamburg has conceded goals in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paloma VS ETSV Hamburg
3.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Paloma

(Home)
12 Sept
Dassendorf
1 : 2
Paloma
06 Sept
Paloma
3 : 2
Sasel
28 Aug
Suderelbe
2 : 5
Paloma
23 Aug
Paloma
2 : 2
Pinneberg
14 Aug
SC Victoria Hamburg
1 : 5
Paloma
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ETSV Hamburg

(Away)
11 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
Harksheide
28 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
1 : 4
TSV Buchholz 08
21 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
14 Aug
TSV Concordia
1 : 4
ETSV Hamburg
31 Jul
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 1
Teutonia Ottensen
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