Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pamba vs Dodoma Jiji

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Ngassa B.
23'
Sub
Bausi A. In: Chambela K.
Out: Bausi A.
24' Event
Mafie D.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Pamba and Dodoma Jiji finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pamba
15%
Draws
85%
Dodoma Jiji
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dodoma Jiji

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dodoma Jiji come out ahead of Pamba on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Dodoma Jiji taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Pamba Clean Sheet 23%
Dodoma Jiji Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pamba Dodoma Jiji
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.93 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Dodoma Jiji
1:1
May 10, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Dodoma Jiji
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Dodoma Jiji vs Pamba
0:3
Feb 6, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Dodoma Jiji vs Pamba
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Dodoma Jiji
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Mafie D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dodoma Jiji Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngassa B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamba 13 / 100
Dodoma Jiji 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pamba Dodoma Jiji

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dodoma Jiji Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamba scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Dodoma Jiji has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Dodoma Jiji has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pamba VS Dodoma Jiji
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pamba

(Home)
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2
Simba
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Dodoma Jiji

(Away)
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Namungo
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Mashujaa
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 6 6 0 0 16:2 18
2 Simba 6 6 0 0 11:2 18
3 Azam 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
4 Singida Black Stars 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
5 Polisi Tanzania 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 Mbeya City 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
7 Dodoma Jiji 6 3 1 2 4:4 10
8 Mashujaa 6 3 0 3 6:6 9
9 Geita Gold 6 2 1 3 9:8 7
10 JKT Tanzania 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Coastal Union 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 TRA United 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 Namungo 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
14 Fountain Gate 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
15 Kagera Sugar 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
16 Pamba 6 0 1 5 4:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)