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Pamba vs Geita Gold - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara CCM Kirumba Stadium, Mwanza
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Msabila H.
18' Event
Mafie D.
'

AI Match Summary

Pamba in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pamba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pamba
15%
Draws
85%
Geita Gold
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Geita Gold

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pamba haven't matched Geita Gold's recent run of results.
  • Geita Gold are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Pamba Clean Sheet 17%
Geita Gold Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pamba Geita Gold
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.87 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Geita Gold
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Msabila H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mafie D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Geita Gold Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamba 12 / 100
Geita Gold 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pamba Geita Gold

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Geita Gold Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Pamba scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Geita Gold conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Geita Gold lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pamba VS Geita Gold
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pamba

(Home)
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2
Simba
Page 1 of 6

Geita Gold

(Away)
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0
Geita Gold
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
22 Aug
Geita Gold
6 : 2
Kagera Sugar
18 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Geita Gold
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 6 6 0 0 16:2 18
2 Simba 6 6 0 0 11:2 18
3 Azam 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
4 Singida Black Stars 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
5 Polisi Tanzania 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 Mbeya City 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
7 Dodoma Jiji 6 3 1 2 4:4 10
8 Mashujaa 6 3 0 3 6:6 9
9 Geita Gold 6 2 1 3 9:8 7
10 JKT Tanzania 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Coastal Union 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 TRA United 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 Namungo 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
14 Fountain Gate 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
15 Kagera Sugar 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
16 Pamba 6 0 1 5 4:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)