Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pamba vs KenGold

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025
Pamba Logo

Pamba

1 - 0
FT
KenGold Logo

KenGold

Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Mpole G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 game between Pamba and KenGold finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pamba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pamba
15%
Draws
85%
KenGold
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KenGold

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • KenGold haven't matched Pamba's recent run of results.
  • Pamba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Pamba Clean Sheet 68%
KenGold Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pamba KenGold
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.97 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
KenGold vs Pamba
0:2
Dec 1, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs KenGold
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Mpole G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

KenGold Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamba 95 / 100
KenGold 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pamba KenGold

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pamba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KenGold let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: KenGold has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Pamba's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Pamba VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pamba

(Home)
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2
Simba
Page 1 of 7

KenGold

(Away)
22 Jun
Namungo
5 : 0
KenGold
18 Jun
KenGold
0 : 5
Simba
13 May
KenGold
0 : 2
Pamba
21 Apr
Coastal Union
2 : 1
KenGold
09 Apr
KenGold
1 : 3
Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 27 1 2 83:10 82
2 Simba 30 25 3 2 69:13 78
3 Azam 30 19 6 5 56:19 63
4 Singida Black Stars 30 17 6 7 45:26 57
5 TRA United 30 10 8 12 28:45 38
6 JKT Tanzania 30 8 12 10 27:27 36
7 Mashujaa 30 8 11 11 29:33 35
8 Coastal Union 30 8 11 11 26:31 35
9 Namungo 30 9 8 13 28:36 35
10 Kinondoni MC 30 9 8 13 26:43 35
11 Pamba 30 8 10 12 22:33 34
12 Dodoma Jiji 30 9 7 14 31:49 34
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 8 7 15 26:46 31
14 Fountain Gate 30 8 5 17 32:58 29
15 Kagera Sugar 30 5 8 17 22:41 23
16 KenGold 30 3 7 20 22:62 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 (Relegation)