Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Panachaiki vs Ermis Meligous

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Panachaiki in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Panachaiki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Panachaiki
15%
Draws
26%
Ermis Meligous
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Panachaiki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Panachaiki lately — more wins on the board than Ermis Meligous.
  • Model gives Panachaiki a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Panachaiki here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Panachaiki Clean Sheet 68%
Ermis Meligous Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panachaiki Ermis Meligous
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.69 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ermis Meligous vs Panachaiki
0:3
Dec 7, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Panachaiki vs Ermis Meligous
3:0
Sep 21, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ermis Meligous vs Panachaiki
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panachaiki 68 / 100
Ermis Meligous 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panachaiki Ermis Meligous

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panachaiki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ermis Meligous has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Panachaiki found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Panachaiki went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Panachaiki VS Ermis Meligous
2.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Panachaiki

(Home)
27 Sept
Panegialios FC
2 : 1
Panachaiki
08 Apr
Panachaiki
4 : 1
Panthouriakos
05 Apr
Panachaiki
2 : 2
Loutraki FC
01 Apr
Ermis Meligous
0 : 3
Panachaiki
28 Mar
Thyella Patras
1 : 0
Panachaiki
Page 1 of 6

Ermis Meligous

(Away)
08 Apr
Ermis Meligous
7 : 0
Pangytheatikos
05 Apr
Panthouriakos
3 : 1
Ermis Meligous
01 Apr
Ermis Meligous
0 : 3
Panachaiki
28 Mar
Loutraki FC
1 : 0
Ermis Meligous
22 Mar
Ermis Meligous
1 : 2
Thyella Patras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyrgos 22 18 2 2 45:7 56
2 Zakynthos 22 16 4 2 47:11 52
3 Panegialios FC 22 15 5 2 40:15 50
4 Miltiadis 22 9 6 7 32:23 33
5 Korinthos 22 8 8 6 35:31 32
6 Pelopas Kiatou 22 9 2 11 20:32 29
7 Panthouriakos 22 7 7 8 29:25 28
8 Loutraki FC 22 8 4 10 18:18 28
9 Panachaiki 22 7 6 9 29:26 27
10 Thyella Patras 22 5 6 11 20:30 21
11 Ermis Meligous 22 2 4 16 13:40 10
12 Pangytheatikos 22 0 2 20 8:78 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Losers stage)