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Panaderia vs Anaza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Gemelo A.
29' Event
Baez C.
Own Goal
36' Event
Llanos V.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between Panaderia and Anaza finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Panaderia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Panaderia
20%
Draws
23%
Anaza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Panaderia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Panaderia come out ahead of Anaza on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Panaderia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Panaderia Clean Sheet 68%
Anaza Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panaderia Anaza
Matches Played 33 6
Wins 14 1
Draws 11 1
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.48 1
Goals Conceded 1.12 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Anaza
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panaderia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gemelo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Anaza Compare

Top Goalscorer Llanos V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panaderia 95 / 100
Anaza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panaderia Anaza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panaderia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Panaderia scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Anaza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 6 matches.

Recent resilience: Panaderia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Panaderia VS Anaza
0.88 Goals Scored 0.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Panaderia

(Home)
03 Oct
Panaderia
5 : 2
Anaza
26 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
2 : 0
Panaderia
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3
Tenerife C
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2
Panaderia
Page 1 of 7

Anaza

(Away)
03 Oct
Panaderia
5 : 2
Anaza
25 Sept
Tenerife C
3 : 2
Anaza
19 Sept
Anaza
1 : 0
Mensajero
12 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
0 : 0
Anaza
29 Jul
Tenerife
2 : 0
Anaza
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
2 Real Union Tenerife 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
3 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
4 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
5 CD Marino 4 2 1 1 12:6 7
6 Las Palmas C 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
7 San Miguel 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
8 Panaderia 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
9 Los Llanos 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
11 Villa Santa Brigida 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Tenerife C 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Estrella 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Anaza 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
15 Union Sur Yaiza 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
16 CD Laguna 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
17 Villaverde Norte 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)