Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Gemelo A.
39'
39'
Iglesias A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Panaderia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Panaderia have won more games recently than Atletico Paso.
- Panaderia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Panaderia Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Panaderia | Atletico Paso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Atletico Paso
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Panaderia
1:1
Jun 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Panaderia
1:2
May 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Atletico Paso
1:1
Jan 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Panaderia
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Panaderia Compare
Top Goalscorer Gemelo A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Atletico Paso Compare
Top Goalscorer Iglesias A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Panaderia 40 / 100
Atletico Paso 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Panaderia Atletico Paso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Panaderia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Panaderia scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Panaderia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Atletico Paso conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Panaderia VS Atletico Paso
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Panaderia
(Home) 13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2 Panaderia
24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2 Panaderia
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2 UD San Fernando
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
03 May
San Miguel
1 : 1 Panaderia
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2 UD San Fernando
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
25 Apr
Panaderia
1 : 1 Atletico Paso
11 Apr
Panaderia
2 : 1 Real Union Tenerife
26 Mar
Panaderia
0 : 3 Herbania
Page 1 of 3
Atletico Paso
(Away) 13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0 Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2 Numancia
07 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 0 Atletico Paso
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1 Atletico Paso
03 May
Atletico Paso
1 : 0 Las Palmas C
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0 Atletico Paso
07 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 0 Atletico Paso
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1 Atletico Paso
25 Apr
Panaderia
1 : 1 Atletico Paso
12 Apr
CD Marino
0 : 0 Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
