Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
El Cotillo in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Cotillo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: El Cotillo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- El Cotillo haven't matched Panaderia's recent run of results.
- El Cotillo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Panaderia Clean Sheet 20%
El Cotillo Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Panaderia | El Cotillo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs El Cotillo
0:1
Dec 9, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
El Cotillo vs Panaderia
0:1
Jan 27, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs El Cotillo
3:1
Sep 13, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
El Cotillo vs Panaderia
1:1
Jan 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
El Cotillo vs Panaderia
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Panaderia 28 / 100
El Cotillo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Panaderia El Cotillo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick El Cotillo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Panaderia found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).
El Cotillo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: Panaderia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Panaderia VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Panaderia
(Home) 24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2 Panaderia
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2 UD San Fernando
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
03 May
San Miguel
1 : 1 Panaderia
25 Apr
Panaderia
1 : 1 Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 7
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2 UD San Fernando
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
25 Apr
Panaderia
1 : 1 Atletico Paso
11 Apr
Panaderia
2 : 1 Real Union Tenerife
26 Mar
Panaderia
0 : 3 Herbania
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El Cotillo
(Away) 28 Aug
El Cotillo
1 : 0 Lanzarote
19 May
El Cotillo
2 : 1 CD Marino
12 May
Tacoronte
5 : 3 El Cotillo
05 May
El Cotillo
2 : 0 Atletico Union Guimar
27 Apr
Panaderia
0 : 1 El Cotillo
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12 May
Tacoronte
5 : 3 El Cotillo
27 Apr
Panaderia
0 : 1 El Cotillo
07 Apr
Lanzarote
4 : 0 El Cotillo
24 Mar
CD Buzanada
2 : 1 El Cotillo
09 Mar
CD Santa Ursula
0 : 0 El Cotillo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tamaraceite | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 61:33 | 67 |
| 2 | Mensajero | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 61:38 | 64 |
| 3 | Union Viera | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 53:45 | 63 |
| 4 | Tenerife B | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 47:28 | 61 |
| 5 | Lanzarote | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 58:43 | 60 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 45:28 | 59 |
| 7 | Villa Santa Brigida | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 51:38 | 57 |
| 8 | UD San Fernando | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66:59 | 56 |
| 9 | CD Santa Ursula | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 37:36 | 53 |
| 10 | Ibarra | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 43:58 | 52 |
| 11 | Atletico Union Guimar | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 48:49 | 48 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 53:48 | 47 |
| 13 | Tacoronte | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:45 | 45 |
| 14 | CD Buzanada | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 38:50 | 45 |
| 15 | CD La Cuadra | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 43:46 | 45 |
| 16 | SD Tenisca | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:50 | 45 |
| 17 | Panaderia | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 62:68 | 44 |
| 18 | Union Sur Yaiza | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 32:55 | 43 |
| 19 | El Cotillo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39:62 | 41 |
| 20 | Las Zocas | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 37:75 | 35 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
