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Panaderia vs Estrella

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Panaderia
35%
Draws
32%
Estrella
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Panaderia lately — more wins on the board than Estrella.
  • Model gives Panaderia a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Panaderia Clean Sheet 20%
Estrella Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panaderia Estrella
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.3 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Estrella
0:0
Sep 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Panaderia
1:2
Feb 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Estrella
2:0
Oct 21, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Panaderia
0:0
Feb 2, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Panaderia
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panaderia 36 / 100
Estrella 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panaderia Estrella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panaderia's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Estrella let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Panaderia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Panaderia VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Panaderia

(Home)
24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2
Panaderia
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2
UD San Fernando
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
03 May
San Miguel
1 : 1
Panaderia
25 Apr
Panaderia
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 8

Estrella

(Away)
11 May
Estrella
2 : 1
Herbania
04 May
San Bartolome
1 : 0
Estrella
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1
CD Santa Ursula
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1
Estrella
12 Apr
Estrella
2 : 2
CD Marino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)