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Panama U23 vs Mexico U23

World World

Maurice Revello Tournament 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Phillips R.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
del Villar E. In: Jurado H.
Out: del Villar E.
50' Event
Bernal J.
Assist: Lenis K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Panama U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Panama U23
15%
Draws
64%
Mexico U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Mexico U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Mexico U23 taking it.
  • Mexico U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Panama U23, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Panama U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Mexico U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panama U23 Mexico U23
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 2 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.68 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2024 Friendly International
Mexico U23 vs Panama U23
2:1
Sep 6, 2024 Friendly International
Mexico U23 vs Panama U23
4:1
Jun 18, 2023 Maurice Revello Tournament
Panama U23 vs Mexico U23
4:1
Jul 29, 2019 Pan American Games
Panama U23 vs Mexico U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panama U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernal J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lenis K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Mexico U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurado H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panama U23 22 / 100
Mexico U23 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panama U23 Mexico U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Panama U23's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Mexico U23 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Panama U23 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Panama U23 VS Mexico U23
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Panama U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Mexico U23
2 : 1
Panama U23
06 Sept
Mexico U23
4 : 1
Panama U23
14 Jun
Saudi Arabia U23
1 : 2
Panama U23
12 Jun
Japan U19
1 : 0
Panama U23
10 Jun
Italy U21
3 : 2
Panama U23
Page 1 of 5

Mexico U23

(Away)
10 Oct
Netherlands U21
1 : 0
Mexico U23
09 Sept
Mexico U23
2 : 1
Panama U23
06 Sept
Mexico U23
4 : 1
Panama U23
14 Jun
Mexico U23
1 : 3
Japan U19
11 Jun
South Korea U21
0 : 1
Mexico U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Australia U23 1
Panama U23 2
France U18 2
Mexico U23 3
Final
Panama U23 4
Mexico U23 1
Australia U23 2
France U18 0