Sport Picks
Panama vs Guadeloupe
North & Central America
Gold Cup Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, CA 
Match Events
6'
6'
Martinez C.
Assist: Gutierrez J.
13'
13'
Diaz I.
Assist: Murillo M.
17'
17'
Diaz I.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-2. The second leg ended 5-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guadeloupe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Guadeloupe come out ahead of Panama on wins alone.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Guadeloupe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Panama, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Panama Clean Sheet 20%
Guadeloupe Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Panama | Guadeloupe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 16, 2025 Gold Cup
Panama vs Guadeloupe
5:2
Jan 22, 2021 Friendly International
Guadeloupe vs Panama
0:0
Jun 7, 2011 Gold Cup
Panama vs Guadeloupe
3:2
Jul 5, 2009 Gold Cup
Panama vs Guadeloupe
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Panama Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaz I.
2 Goals Assists Leader Martinez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Guadeloupe Compare
Top Goalscorer Leborgne J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Panama 36 / 100
Guadeloupe 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Panama Guadeloupe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guadeloupe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Panama's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Guadeloupe has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Guadeloupe let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.
Scoring Trends
Panama VS Guadeloupe
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Panama
(Home) 25 Sept
India
1 : 1 Panama
27 Jun
Panama
0 : 2 England
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1 Croatia
17 Jun
Ghana
1 : 0 Panama
06 Jun
Panama
1 : 1 Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
Panama
0 : 2 England
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1 Croatia
06 Jun
Panama
1 : 1 Bosnia & Herzegovina
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2 Dominican Republic
23 Jan
Panama
0 : 1 Mexico
Page 1 of 3
Guadeloupe
(Away) 28 Sept
Guadeloupe
2 : 2 Barbados
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2 Guadeloupe
24 Jun
Guadeloupe
2 : 3 Guatemala
20 Jun
Jamaica
2 : 1 Guadeloupe
16 Jun
Panama
5 : 2 Guadeloupe
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2 Guadeloupe
20 Jun
Jamaica
2 : 1 Guadeloupe
16 Jun
Panama
5 : 2 Guadeloupe
26 Mar
Nicaragua
0 : 1 Guadeloupe
15 Nov
Cayman Islands
0 : 6 Guadeloupe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Costa Rica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Dominican Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 4 | Suriname | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canada | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Honduras | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 4 | El Salvador | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panama | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Guatemala | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Jamaica | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Guadeloupe | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Trinidad & Tobago | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
