Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Panama vs Guadeloupe

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Dignity Health Sports Park
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Martinez C.
Assist: Gutierrez J.
13' Event
Diaz I.
Assist: Murillo M.
17' Event
Diaz I.

AI Match Summary

Panama host Guadeloupe in the Gold Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Panama at 1.5 goals for, 0.88 against; Guadeloupe at 2 for, 3 against. Past meetings favor Panama slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 16, 2025, ending 5:2. xG projections (2.25 - 1.44) back Guadeloupe to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Panama
39%
Draws
30%
Guadeloupe
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Guadeloupe has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Panama.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Gold Cup provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Panama Clean Sheet 16%
Guadeloupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panama Guadeloupe
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 0.88 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2025 Gold Cup
Panama vs Guadeloupe
5:2
Jan 22, 2021 Friendly International
Guadeloupe vs Panama
0:0
Jun 7, 2011 Gold Cup
Panama vs Guadeloupe
3:2
Jul 5, 2009 Gold Cup
Panama vs Guadeloupe
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panama Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Guadeloupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Leborgne J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panama 31 / 100
Guadeloupe 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panama Guadeloupe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panama scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Guadeloupe let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Panama went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Guadeloupe lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Panama VS Guadeloupe
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico32105:27
2Costa Rica32106:47
3Dominican Republic30123:51
4Suriname30123:61
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canada32109:17
2Honduras32014:76
3Curacao30212:32
4El Salvador30120:41
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panama330010:39
2Guatemala32014:36
3Jamaica31023:63
4Guadeloupe30035:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1USA33008:19
2Saudi Arabia31112:24
3Trinidad & Tobago30212:72
4Haiti30122:41