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Panama vs Mexico

World World

Friendly International Estadio Rommel Fernandez, Panama City
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Aparicio D.
36'
Romo L.
46'
Sub
Phillips R. In: Caicedo A.
Out: Phillips R.

AI Match Summary

Mexico in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mexico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Panama
15%
Draws
64%
Mexico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Mexico have won more games recently than Panama.
  • Win probability leans Mexico's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mexico have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Panama Clean Sheet 10%
Mexico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panama Mexico
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 19
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.52 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Friendly International
Panama vs Mexico
0:1
Mar 24, 2025 CONCACAF Nations League
Mexico vs Panama
2:1
Mar 22, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Panama vs Mexico
0:3
Jul 16, 2023 Gold Cup
Mexico vs Panama
1:0
Jun 18, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Panama vs Mexico
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panama 10 / 100
Mexico 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panama Mexico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panama found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Mexico's defensive record shows goals conceded in 39% of 31 matches.

Panama has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Panama VS Mexico
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Panama

(Home)
27 Jun
Panama
0 : 2
England
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1
Croatia
17 Jun
Ghana
1 : 0
Panama
06 Jun
Panama
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2
Dominican Republic
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Mexico

(Away)
06 Jul
Mexico
2 : 3
England
01 Jul
Mexico
2 : 0
Ecuador
25 Jun
Czech Republic
0 : 3
Mexico
19 Jun
Mexico
1 : 0
South Korea
11 Jun
Mexico
2 : 0
South Africa
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