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Panargiakos vs Ellas Syrou

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2025/2026 Argos Municipality Stadium, Argos
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Match Events

14' Event
Bampis P.
67' Event
Kola A.
75' Event
Trimmatis A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2 2025/2026 game between Panargiakos and Ellas Syrou finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ellas Syrou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Panargiakos
35%
Draws
40%
Ellas Syrou
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ellas Syrou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ellas Syrou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ellas Syrou have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Panargiakos Clean Sheet 16%
Ellas Syrou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panargiakos Ellas Syrou
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0.6 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Super League 2
Panargiakos vs Ellas Syrou
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Super League 2
Ellas Syrou vs Panargiakos
3:1
Dec 7, 2025 Super League 2
Panargiakos vs Ellas Syrou
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 Super League 2
Ellas Syrou vs Panargiakos
5:0
Feb 25, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Ellas Syrou vs Panargiakos
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panargiakos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Ellas Syrou Compare

Top Goalscorer Bampis P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kola A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panargiakos 31 / 100
Ellas Syrou 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panargiakos Ellas Syrou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ellas Syrou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ellas Syrou let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Panargiakos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Panargiakos's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Panargiakos VS Ellas Syrou
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Panargiakos

(Home)
25 Apr
Panargiakos
0 : 1
Ellas Syrou
19 Apr
Panargiakos
3 : 2
PAE Egaleo
04 Apr
Athens Kallithea
1 : 1
Panargiakos
29 Mar
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
2 : 0
Panargiakos
21 Mar
Panargiakos
1 : 1
Ilioupoli
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Ellas Syrou

(Away)
07 Sept
Ellas Syrou
2 : 2
Apollon Kalamaria
24 Aug
Ellas Syrou
1 : 2
Marko
25 Apr
Panargiakos
0 : 1
Ellas Syrou
19 Apr
Ellas Syrou
0 : 0
Athens Kallithea
04 Apr
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Ellas Syrou
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraklis FC 18 13 5 0 34:13 44
2 Niki Volos 18 11 6 1 41:10 39
3 Karditsa 18 12 3 3 25:10 39
4 Asteras Tripolis B 18 9 5 4 25:17 32
5 PAOK B 18 7 3 8 25:23 24
6 Kavala 18 6 5 7 16:22 23
7 Chrisoupolis 18 5 3 10 13:21 18
8 Kampaniakos 18 4 3 11 12:32 15
9 Giannina 18 2 4 12 10:24 10
10 Makedonikos Neapolis 18 1 3 14 8:37 6
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kalamata 18 16 2 0 44:10 50
2 Panionios 18 13 4 1 28:8 43
3 Marko 18 9 4 5 21:13 31
4 Olympiacos Piraeus B 18 8 3 7 23:26 27
5 Athens Kallithea 18 7 5 6 21:17 26
6 Ellas Syrou 18 6 6 6 25:18 24
7 PAE Egaleo 18 4 5 9 14:22 17
8 Ilioupoli 18 4 3 11 14:29 15
9 PAE Chania (Kissamikos) 18 3 3 12 11:28 12
10 Panargiakos 18 0 5 13 8:38 5
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)