Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 Sofia

Europe Europe

Conference League Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Jagusic A.
Assist: Andino S.
31' Event
Rusev G.
Assist: Cuellar H.
50'
Cuellar H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Panathinaikos
30%
Draws
43%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSKA 1948 Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Panathinaikos haven't matched CSKA 1948 Sofia's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • CSKA 1948 Sofia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Panathinaikos, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Panathinaikos here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 16%
CSKA 1948 Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panathinaikos CSKA 1948 Sofia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.57 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Conference League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Panathinaikos
1:2
Aug 5, 2026 Conference League
Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:1
Jul 5, 2023 Club Friendly
Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panathinaikos Compare

Top Goalscorer Jagusic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

CSKA 1948 Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Rusev G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panathinaikos 36 / 100
CSKA 1948 Sofia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panathinaikos CSKA 1948 Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panathinaikos scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: CSKA 1948 Sofia conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Panathinaikos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Panathinaikos VS CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Panathinaikos

(Home)
05 Aug
Panathinaikos
1 : 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia
30 Jul
Panathinaikos
2 : 2
Paks
23 Jul
Paks
1 : 2
Panathinaikos
15 Jul
Rapid Vienna
4 : 1
Panathinaikos
11 Jul
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Grasshoppers
Page 1 of 6

CSKA 1948 Sofia

(Away)
08 Aug
Lok. Sofia
1 : 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia
05 Aug
Panathinaikos
1 : 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia
31 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Arda
28 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
1 : 0
Spartak Trnava
25 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
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Borac Banja Luka -
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Petrocub Hincesti -
ML Vitebsk -
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Sutjeska -
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Tre Fiori -
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TBD -
Floriana -
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Drita -
Flora -
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TBD -
TNS -
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Inter Escaldes -
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Vardar -
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Riga FC -
Bissen -
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Gyor -
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Larne -
HJK -
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TBD -
Coleraine -
Motherwell -
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HB Torshavn -
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Freiburg -
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Monaco -
Basaksehir -
TBD -
FK Sarajevo 2
Inter Turku 3
Vaduz -
TBD -
Mornar Bar 2
Atletic Escaldes 4
Debrecen -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 0
Pyunik Yerevan 4
Polissya Zhytomyr -
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TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
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TBD -
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FC Hegelmann 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Zira FK 6
Torpedo Kutaisi 0
Penybont 0
FC Santa Coloma 4
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Rapid Vienna -
Alashkert 4
Yelimay Semey 3
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CFR Cluj -
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Tromso -
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Brighton -
Mondorf 2
Dinamo Tbilisi 3
Petrovac 2
Zalgiris 5
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TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hammarby -
Paks -
TBD -
TBD -
Panathinaikos -
Spartak Trnava -
TBD -
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
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TBD -
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IFK Goteborg -
TBD -
Caernarfon 0
Levadia 10
LNZ Cherkasy -
TBD -
TBD -
Gent -
Vllaznia 2
Malisheva 6
TBD -
Hibernian -
Bravo -
TBD -
Europa FC 0
Shkendija Tetovo 6
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Universitatea Cluj -
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Brann -
Dila Gori 3
Virtus 2
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Apollon Limassol -
Atalanta -
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Hapoel Tel Aviv -
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Ludogorets -
Zilina -
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GKS Katowice -
Bohemians 2
St Josephs 0
Connahs Q. 2
FC Ballkani 3
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Midtjylland -
Rijeka -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Vikingur 3
Stjarnan 5
Differdange 1
Ilves 3
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Varazdin -
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Jablonec -
Glentoran 1
RFS 4
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Vestri -
Valur -
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Zrinjski -
GAIS -
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Nordsjaelland -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
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St. Gallen -
FCSB -
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FK Auda Riga -
Aluminij -
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Dinamo City 4
FC Astana 2
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Zimbru Chisinau -
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Noah -
AF Elbasani 1
BATE 2
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Sion -
Vojvodina -
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Ajax -
Shelbourne -
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Kalju 3
Linfield 2
Zeleznicar Pancevo -
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Braga -
Neftci Baku -
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Din. Minsk 2
Sileks 1
AEK Larnaca -
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Beitar Jerusalem -
Decic 1
FK Liepaja 3
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Austria Vienna -
Twente -
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Dun. Streda -
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Velez Mostar 2
Milsami 1
Dynamo Kyiv -
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Qarabag Agdam -
Getafe -
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Partizan -
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UNA Strassen 3
La Fiorita 0
FK Panevezys -
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Tobol -
Lugano -
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Dukagjini -
NSI Runavik 3
Hamrun 2
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Koper -
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Quarter-finals
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Borac Banja Luka 6
Petrocub Hincesti 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Sutjeska 1
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Tre Fiori -
TBD -
Floriana 2
Drita 3
Flora 2
TNS 1
TBD -
Inter Escaldes -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vardar 4
Riga FC 8
Bissen 3
Gyor 7
TBD -
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Larne -
HJK 8
Coleraine 0
Motherwell 5
HB Torshavn 0
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TBD -
TBD -
Freiburg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Basaksehir 1
Inter Turku 3
Vaduz 6
Atletic Escaldes 0
Debrecen 1
Pyunik Yerevan 0
Polissya Zhytomyr 4
FC Copenhagen 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Zira FK 1
FC Santa Coloma 3
Rapid Vienna 9
Alashkert 1
CFR Cluj 4
TBD -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Dinamo Tbilisi 5
Zalgiris 7
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Rakow Czestochowa 7
Valletta 1
TBD -
Hammarby -
Paks 3
Panathinaikos 4
Spartak Trnava 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IFK Goteborg 4
Levadia 3
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Gent 1
Malisheva 3
Hibernian 4
Bravo 3
Shkendija Tetovo 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj 3
Brann 5
Dila Gori 0
Apollon Limassol 7
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv 4
Ludogorets 2
Zilina 3
GKS Katowice 4
Bohemians 5
FC Ballkani 4
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Rijeka 2
Derry City 0
Stjarnan 2
Ilves 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Varazdin 3
Jablonec 4
RFS 5
Vestri 2
Valur 3
Zrinjski 2
GAIS 1
Nordsjaelland 6
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Gallen -
FCSB 3
FK Auda Riga 7
Aluminij 1
Dinamo City 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zimbru Chisinau 2
Noah 3
BATE 1
Sion 5
Vojvodina 2
Ajax 8
Shelbourne 6
Kalju 4
Zeleznicar Pancevo 0
Braga 5
Neftci Baku 3
Din. Minsk 4
AEK Larnaca 3
Beitar Jerusalem 4
FK Liepaja 1
Austria Vienna 5
Twente -
TBD -
Dun. Streda 4
Velez Mostar 0
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizan 5
UNA Strassen 0
FK Panevezys 2
Tobol 3
Lugano 6
Dukagjini 1
NSI Runavik 4
Koper 3
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
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TBD -
Borac Banja Luka 1
ML Vitebsk 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tre Fiori 1
Drita 4
Flora 0
Inter Escaldes 2
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC 1
Gyor 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
HJK 1
Motherwell 1
TBD -
Freiburg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Inter Turku 2
Vaduz 1
Debrecen 0
FC Copenhagen 3
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Rapid Vienna 4
CFR Cluj 0
Tromso 5
TBD -
Brighton -
Zalgiris 2
Hajduk Split 5
Rakow Czestochowa 0
Hammarby 0
Panathinaikos 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia 2
TBD -
TBD -
IFK Goteborg 0
Gent 1
Hibernian 2
Shkendija Tetovo 1
TBD -
TBD -
Brann 4
Apollon Limassol 3
Atalanta -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv 2
GKS Katowice 0
Bohemians 0
Midtjylland 2
Rijeka 1
Ilves 0
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec 2
RFS 0
Valur 0
Nordsjaelland 2
Sheriff Tiraspol 1
St. Gallen 3
FK Auda Riga 1
Dinamo City 0
TBD -
TBD -
Noah 2
Sion 2
Ajax 3
Shelbourne 1
Braga 1
Din. Minsk 0
Beitar Jerusalem 1
Austria Vienna 2
Twente 6
Dun. Streda 0
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Qarabag Agdam 0
Getafe -
TBD -
Partizan 3
Tobol 0
Lugano 2
NSI Runavik 0
TBD -
TBD -
Final
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TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
TBD -
Freiburg -
TBD -
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
TBD -
TBD -
Panathinaikos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brann -
Atalanta -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -