Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Conference League Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Jagusic A.
Assist: Andino S.
31' Event
Rusev G.
Assist: Cuellar H.
50'
Cuellar H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Panathinaikos
15%
Draws
32%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Panathinaikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA 1948 Sofia haven't matched Panathinaikos's recent run of results.
  • Panathinaikos are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Panathinaikos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Panathinaikos, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Panathinaikos here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 68%
CSKA 1948 Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panathinaikos CSKA 1948 Sofia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.68 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Conference League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Panathinaikos
1:2
Aug 5, 2026 Conference League
Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:1
Jul 5, 2023 Club Friendly
Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panathinaikos Compare

Top Goalscorer Jagusic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

CSKA 1948 Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Rusev G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panathinaikos 77 / 100
CSKA 1948 Sofia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panathinaikos CSKA 1948 Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panathinaikos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panathinaikos went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Panathinaikos found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

CSKA 1948 Sofia let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Panathinaikos VS CSKA 1948 Sofia
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Panathinaikos

(Home)
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
16 Sept
Kifisia
0 : 2
Panathinaikos
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Panetolikos
10 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
Kifisia
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
PAOK
Page 1 of 6

CSKA 1948 Sofia

(Away)
18 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Borac Banja Luka -
TBD -
TBD -
Petrocub Hincesti -
ML Vitebsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutjeska -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Tre Fiori -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Drita -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter Escaldes -
Klaksvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vardar -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Bissen -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
HJK -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
HB Torshavn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Freiburg -
Gornik Zabrze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Basaksehir -
TBD -
FK Sarajevo 2
Inter Turku 3
Vaduz -
TBD -
Mornar Bar 2
Atletic Escaldes 4
Debrecen -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 0
Pyunik Yerevan 4
Polissya Zhytomyr -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hegelmann 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Zira FK 6
Torpedo Kutaisi 0
Penybont 0
FC Santa Coloma 4
TBD -
Rapid Vienna -
Alashkert 4
Yelimay Semey 3
TBD -
CFR Cluj -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Mondorf 2
Dinamo Tbilisi 3
Petrovac 2
Zalgiris 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hammarby -
Paks -
TBD -
TBD -
Panathinaikos -
Spartak Trnava -
TBD -
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
IFK Goteborg -
TBD -
Caernarfon 0
Levadia 10
LNZ Cherkasy -
TBD -
TBD -
Gent -
Vllaznia 2
Malisheva 6
TBD -
Hibernian -
Bravo -
TBD -
Europa FC 0
Shkendija Tetovo 6
PAOK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj -
TBD -
TBD -
Brann -
Dila Gori 3
Virtus 2
TBD -
Apollon Limassol -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Zilina -
TBD -
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Bohemians 2
St Josephs 0
Connahs Q. 2
FC Ballkani 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Rijeka -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Vikingur 3
Stjarnan 5
Differdange 1
Ilves 3
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Varazdin -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Glentoran 1
RFS 4
TBD -
Vestri -
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Zrinjski -
GAIS -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Gallen -
FCSB -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
Aluminij -
TBD -
Dinamo City 4
FC Astana 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pafos -
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
TBD -
Noah -
AF Elbasani 1
BATE 2
TBD -
Sion -
Vojvodina -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
Kalju 3
Linfield 2
Zeleznicar Pancevo -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Neftci Baku -
TBD -
Din. Minsk 2
Sileks 1
AEK Larnaca -
TBD -
TBD -
Beitar Jerusalem -
Decic 1
FK Liepaja 3
TBD -
Austria Vienna -
Twente -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dun. Streda -
TBD -
Velez Mostar 2
Milsami 1
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizan -
TBD -
UNA Strassen 3
La Fiorita 0
FK Panevezys -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobol -
Lugano -
TBD -
TBD -
Dukagjini -
NSI Runavik 3
Hamrun 2
TBD -
Koper -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Quarter-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Borac Banja Luka 6
Petrocub Hincesti 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Sutjeska 1
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Tre Fiori -
TBD -
Floriana 2
Drita 3
Flora 2
TNS 1
TBD -
Inter Escaldes -
Klaksvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vardar 4
Riga FC 8
Bissen 3
Gyor 7
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
HJK 8
Coleraine 0
Motherwell 5
HB Torshavn 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Freiburg -
Gornik Zabrze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Basaksehir 1
Inter Turku 3
Vaduz 6
Atletic Escaldes 0
Debrecen 1
Pyunik Yerevan 0
Polissya Zhytomyr 4
FC Copenhagen 5
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Zira FK 1
FC Santa Coloma 3
Rapid Vienna 9
Alashkert 1
CFR Cluj 4
TBD -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Dinamo Tbilisi 5
Zalgiris 7
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Rakow Czestochowa 7
Valletta 1
TBD -
Hammarby -
Paks 3
Panathinaikos 4
Spartak Trnava 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
IFK Goteborg 4
Levadia 3
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Gent 1
Malisheva 3
Hibernian 4
Bravo 3
Shkendija Tetovo 4
PAOK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj 3
Brann 5
Dila Gori 0
Apollon Limassol 7
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv 4
Ludogorets 2
Zilina 3
GKS Katowice 4
Bohemians 5
FC Ballkani 4
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Rijeka 2
Derry City 0
Stjarnan 2
Ilves 3
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Varazdin 3
Jablonec 4
RFS 5
Vestri 2
Valur 3
Zrinjski 2
GAIS 1
Nordsjaelland 6
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Gallen -
FCSB 3
FK Auda Riga 7
Aluminij 1
Dinamo City 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pafos -
Zimbru Chisinau 2
Noah 3
BATE 1
Sion 5
Vojvodina 2
Ajax 8
Shelbourne 6
Kalju 4
Zeleznicar Pancevo 0
Braga 5
Neftci Baku 3
Din. Minsk 4
AEK Larnaca 3
Beitar Jerusalem 4
FK Liepaja 1
Austria Vienna 5
Twente -
TBD -
Dun. Streda 4
Velez Mostar 0
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizan 5
UNA Strassen 0
FK Panevezys 2
Tobol 3
Lugano 6
Dukagjini 1
NSI Runavik 4
Koper 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Semi-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Borac Banja Luka 3
ML Vitebsk 2
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Tre Fiori 1
Drita 9
Flora 0
Inter Escaldes 6
Klaksvik -
TBD -
Riga FC 2
Gyor 1
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
HJK 1
Motherwell 3
TBD -
Freiburg -
Gornik Zabrze -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Inter Turku 4
Vaduz 3
Debrecen 1
FC Copenhagen 8
Hearts -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Rapid Vienna 6
CFR Cluj 1
Tromso 7
TBD -
Brighton -
Zalgiris 2
Hajduk Split 9
Rakow Czestochowa 1
Hammarby 0
Panathinaikos 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia 2
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
IFK Goteborg 1
Gent 2
Hibernian 2
Shkendija Tetovo 1
PAOK -
TBD -
Brann 4
Apollon Limassol 3
Atalanta -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv 3
GKS Katowice 2
Bohemians 2
Midtjylland 5
Rijeka 2
Ilves 1
Rangers -
TBD -
Jablonec 4
RFS 1
Valur 0
Nordsjaelland 7
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
St. Gallen 8
FK Auda Riga 1
Dinamo City 4
TBD -
Pafos -
Noah 3
Sion 4
Ajax 5
Shelbourne 3
Braga 1
Din. Minsk 0
Beitar Jerusalem 3
Austria Vienna 4
Twente 9
Dun. Streda 3
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
Getafe -
TBD -
Partizan 5
Tobol 1
Lugano 4
NSI Runavik 2
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Borac Banja Luka 6
Shamrock Rovers 1
KuPS 2
Drita 2
Inter Escaldes 3
Klaksvik 1
Riga FC 2
Lincoln Red Imps 3
Larne 2
Motherwell 2
Freiburg 7
Gornik Zabrze 3
Monaco 7
Inter Turku 1
FC Copenhagen 4
Hearts 5
Rapid Vienna 4
Tromso 0
Brighton 4
Hajduk Split 5
Rakow Czestochowa 4
Panathinaikos 4
Hradec Kralove 3
Gent 3
Hibernian 2
PAOK 3
Brann 4
Atalanta 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0
Midtjylland 6
Rijeka 1
Rangers 1
Jablonec 2
Nordsjaelland 4
St. Gallen 2
Dinamo City 3
Pafos 5
Sion 5
Ajax 9
Braga 2
Austria Vienna 0
Twente 4
Qarabag Agdam 2
Getafe 4
Partizan 3
Lugano 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2