Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Panathinaikos vs Olympiacos Piraeus

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Ortega F.
13'
Tetteh A.
33' Event
Martins G.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Panathinaikos and Olympiacos Piraeus finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olympiacos Piraeus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Panathinaikos
15%
Draws
34%
Olympiacos Piraeus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Panathinaikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Olympiacos Piraeus haven't matched Panathinaikos's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Panathinaikos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 68%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panathinaikos Olympiacos Piraeus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.76 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:2
Feb 8, 2026 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:1
May 11, 2025 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panathinaikos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Olympiacos Piraeus Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodinei
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panathinaikos 95 / 100
Olympiacos Piraeus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panathinaikos Olympiacos Piraeus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panathinaikos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Panathinaikos stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Panathinaikos found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Olympiacos Piraeus conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Panathinaikos VS Olympiacos Piraeus
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Panathinaikos

(Home)
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
16 Sept
Kifisia
0 : 2
Panathinaikos
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Panetolikos
10 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
Kifisia
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
PAOK
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Olympiacos Piraeus

(Away)
20 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
08 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 : 2
Volos
05 Sept
Volos
1 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK 32 21 9 2 57:20 72
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 32 19 9 4 51:17 66
3 PAOK 32 18 10 4 59:25 64
4 Panathinaikos 32 14 10 8 47:33 52
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)