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Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens
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Match Events

14' Event
Taborda V.
Assist: Andino S.
19'
Stajic N.
20'
Sub
Taborda V. In: Garcia L.
Out: Taborda V.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Panathinaikos and Panetolikos finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Panathinaikos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Panathinaikos
15%
Draws
32%
Panetolikos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Panathinaikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Panathinaikos come out ahead of Panetolikos on wins alone.
  • Panathinaikos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Panathinaikos here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 68%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panathinaikos Panetolikos
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.68 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos
3:0
Mar 15, 2026 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Super League
Panetolikos vs Panathinaikos
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos
2:0
Nov 24, 2024 Super League
Panetolikos vs Panathinaikos
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panathinaikos Compare

Top Goalscorer Taborda V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ounahi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Panetolikos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panathinaikos 95 / 100
Panetolikos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panathinaikos Panetolikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panathinaikos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panetolikos let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Panathinaikos remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Panathinaikos scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Panathinaikos VS Panetolikos
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Panathinaikos

(Home)
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
16 Sept
Kifisia
0 : 2
Panathinaikos
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Panetolikos
10 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
Kifisia
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
PAOK
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Panetolikos

(Away)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Panetolikos
06 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 2
Panetolikos
29 Aug
Panetolikos
2 : 0
Kalamata
23 Aug
Panetolikos
3 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 12:2 15
2 PAOK 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 AEK 5 3 2 0 13:3 11
4 OFI Crete 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Panetolikos 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 5:10 7
8 Iraklis FC 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
9 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
10 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
11 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
12 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
13 Levadiakos 5 0 1 4 0:9 1
14 Volos 5 0 2 3 4:9 -1
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)