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Panciu vs Ozana Targu Neamt

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2015/2016
Sat, May 28, 2016
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Panciu play Ozana Targu Neamt in the Liga 3 - Seria 1 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Panciu averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Ozana Targu Neamt averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Panciu won 2, Ozana Targu Neamt won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 28, 2016 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Panciu and 1.38 for Ozana Targu Neamt. This points to a Panciu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Panciu
23%
Draws
29%
Ozana Targu Neamt
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Panciu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Panciu picked up more points recently compared to Ozana Targu Neamt.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Panciu Clean Sheet 17%
Ozana Targu Neamt Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panciu Ozana Targu Neamt
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 2
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.27 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2016 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Panciu vs Ozana Targu Neamt
3:0
Nov 21, 2015 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Ozana Targu Neamt vs Panciu
1:0
May 11, 2012 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Panciu vs Ozana Targu Neamt
1:1
Oct 28, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Ozana Targu Neamt vs Panciu
1:1
Apr 22, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Panciu vs Ozana Targu Neamt
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panciu 47 / 100
Ozana Targu Neamt 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panciu Ozana Targu Neamt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Panciu or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Panciu attacking → ← attacking Ozana Targu Neamt

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panciu scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Ozana Targu Neamt let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Panciu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ozana Targu Neamt lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 26
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sepsi26222255:968
2CSM Ramnicu Sarat26194360:2061
3Stiinta Miroslava26172748:1953
4Roman26147553:2049
5Metalosport Galati26136747:2445
6Sporting Liesti261331045:3942
7Aerostar26125936:3041
8CSM Pascani26961141:4933
9Panciu26881029:3132
10Inter Dorohoi264101226:4022
11Atletico Vaslui26441823:6116
12Bucovina Radauti24441615:4816
13Zagon24341713:6013
14Ozana Targu Neamt24411915:5613