Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2023/2024

Panargiakos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Panelefsiniakos F.C. play Panargiakos in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Panelefsiniakos F.C. averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Panargiakos averaged 0.68 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. In past meetings, Panelefsiniakos F.C. won 1, Panargiakos won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 14, 2024 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Panelefsiniakos F.C. and 0.74 for Panargiakos. This points to a Panelefsiniakos F.C. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Panelefsiniakos F.C.

15%

Draws

35%

Panargiakos

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Panelefsiniakos F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Panelefsiniakos F.C. picked up more points recently compared to Panargiakos.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.74 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

Panelefsiniakos F.C. Clean Sheet 27%

Panargiakos Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Panelefsiniakos F.C.	Panargiakos
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	9	3
Draws	2	7
Losses	19	21
Goals Scored	1.03	0.68
Goals Conceded	2.03	1.74

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Panelefsiniakos F.C. vs Panargiakos

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

0:3

Oct 4, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Panargiakos vs Panelefsiniakos F.C.

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Mar 8, 2015 Football League 2 - Group C

Panargiakos vs Panelefsiniakos F.C.

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 1 - 4

0:3

Nov 9, 2014 Football League 2 - Group C

Panelefsiniakos F.C. vs Panargiakos

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panelefsiniakos F.C. 50 / 100

Panargiakos 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Panelefsiniakos F.C. Panargiakos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Panelefsiniakos F.C. or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Panelefsiniakos F.C. attacking → ← attacking Panargiakos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panelefsiniakos F.C. scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Panargiakos let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Panelefsiniakos F.C. went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Panargiakos lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 16

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Panargiakos	34	23	7	4	49:13	76
2	Korinthos	34	21	7	6	58:29	70
3	Thyella Diastavroseos	34	19	8	7	52:28	65
4	Ellas Syrou	34	20	3	11	66:30	63
5	Kyanos Astir Varis	34	18	8	8	55:22	62
6	Marko	34	16	8	10	42:36	56
7	Ialisos	34	16	7	11	40:34	55
8	Rodos	34	15	10	9	51:29	55
9	Panegialios FC	34	17	4	13	56:43	55
10	Mykonos	34	15	6	13	51:35	51
11	Afantou	34	13	11	10	42:36	50
12	PAO Varda	34	13	4	17	33:49	43
13	Pyliou	34	10	7	17	35:48	37
14	Panelefsiniakos F.C.	34	11	2	21	36:66	35
15	Vyzas FC	34	8	9	17	32:64	33
16	Filiatron	34	5	11	18	35:54	23
17	Ermionidas-Ermis	34	5	7	22	24:58	22
18	Mesolongi AE	34	0	3	31	16:99	3