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Stadium Background

Panetolikos vs AEL Larissa

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinio
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Perez F. In: Olafsson D.
Out: Perez F.
52'
Badji Y.
58' Event
Tupta L.
Assist: Sagal A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Panetolikos
30%
Draws
34%
AEL Larissa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Panetolikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Panetolikos lately — more wins on the board than AEL Larissa.
  • Panetolikos are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Panetolikos here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 20%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panetolikos AEL Larissa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 8 11
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs AEL Larissa
1:1
Apr 8, 2026 Super League
AEL Larissa vs Panetolikos
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Super League
AEL Larissa vs Panetolikos
1:4
Nov 8, 2025 Super League
Panetolikos vs AEL Larissa
3:0
Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly
AEL Larissa vs Panetolikos
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panetolikos Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

AEL Larissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tupta L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panetolikos 36 / 100
AEL Larissa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panetolikos AEL Larissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEL Larissa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Panetolikos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Panetolikos scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Panetolikos VS AEL Larissa
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Panetolikos

(Home)
16 Jul
Omonia
2 : 1
Panetolikos
21 May
Panetolikos
1 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
17 May
Panserraikos
1 : 1
Panetolikos
12 May
Panetolikos
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
09 May
Atromitos
1 : 2
Panetolikos
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AEL Larissa

(Away)
21 May
Kifisia
3 : 2
AEL Larissa
16 May
AEL Larissa
2 : 1
Atromitos
12 May
Panetolikos
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
09 May
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
02 May
Panserraikos
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
9Atromitos3612101449:4246
10Kifisia369141340:5141
11Asteras Tripolis368121636:4936
12Panetolikos36991835:5136
13AEL Larissa365151634:5630
14Panserraikos36782125:7329
Relegation - Super League 2 2026/2027 (Main)