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Panetolikos vs AEL Larissa

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinio
Panetolikos Logo

Panetolikos

1 - 1
FT
AEL Larissa Logo

AEL Larissa

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Perez F. In: Olafsson D.
Out: Perez F.
52'
Badji Y.
58' Event
Tupta L.
Assist: Sagal A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Panetolikos
20%
Draws
38%
AEL Larissa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Panetolikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: AEL Larissa at 1.21 per game, Panetolikos at 1.1.
  • AEL Larissa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Panetolikos here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 16%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panetolikos AEL Larissa
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs AEL Larissa
1:1
Apr 8, 2026 Super League
AEL Larissa vs Panetolikos
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Super League
AEL Larissa vs Panetolikos
1:4
Nov 8, 2025 Super League
Panetolikos vs AEL Larissa
3:0
Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly
AEL Larissa vs Panetolikos
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panetolikos Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

AEL Larissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tupta L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panetolikos 23 / 100
AEL Larissa 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panetolikos AEL Larissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEL Larissa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panetolikos's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

AEL Larissa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Panetolikos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Panetolikos VS AEL Larissa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Panetolikos

(Home)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Panetolikos
06 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 2
Panetolikos
29 Aug
Panetolikos
2 : 0
Kalamata
23 Aug
Panetolikos
3 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
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AEL Larissa

(Away)
21 Sept
Pyrgos
0 : 4
AEL Larissa
17 Sept
Kalamata
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
12 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
Zakynthos
06 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Karditsa
02 Sept
AEL Larissa
0 : 4
Olympiacos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Atromitos 36 12 10 14 49:42 46
10 Kifisia 36 9 14 13 40:51 41
11 Asteras Tripolis 36 8 12 16 36:49 36
12 Panetolikos 36 9 9 18 35:51 36
13 AEL Larissa 36 5 15 16 34:56 30
14 Panserraikos 36 7 8 21 25:73 29
Relegation - Super League 2 (Main)