Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Panetolikos vs Ellas Syrou

Greece Greece

Greek Cup Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinio
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Chura J.
6' Event
Giakos E.
(Penalty)
13' Event
Matan A.

AI Match Summary

Panetolikos in this Greek Cup tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Panetolikos
22%
Draws
60%
Ellas Syrou
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ellas Syrou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Ellas Syrou have won more games recently than Panetolikos.
  • Ellas Syrou are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Ellas Syrou arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Panetolikos, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 20%
Ellas Syrou Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panetolikos Ellas Syrou
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1 1.33
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Greek Cup
Panetolikos vs Ellas Syrou
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panetolikos Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguirre J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chura J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ellas Syrou Compare

Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panetolikos 20 / 100
Ellas Syrou 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panetolikos Ellas Syrou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Ellas Syrou conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Panetolikos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Panetolikos found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

Panetolikos VS Ellas Syrou
1 Goals Scored 1.33
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Panetolikos

(Home)
16 Jul
Omonia
2 : 1
Panetolikos
21 May
Panetolikos
1 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
17 May
Panserraikos
1 : 1
Panetolikos
12 May
Panetolikos
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
09 May
Atromitos
1 : 2
Panetolikos
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Ellas Syrou

(Away)
25 Apr
Panargiakos
0 : 1
Ellas Syrou
19 Apr
Ellas Syrou
0 : 0
Athens Kallithea
04 Apr
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Ellas Syrou
29 Mar
PAE Egaleo
2 : 1
Ellas Syrou
21 Mar
Ellas Syrou
1 : 0
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olympiacos Piraeus440018:312
2Levadiakos440010:312
3AEK44006:112
4Panathinaikos44006:212
5Aris43106:210
6OFI Crete43017:39
7Volos421110:77
8PAOK421110:77
9Atromitos42117:57
10Kifisia41214:45
11Asteras Tripolis41127:44
12Panetolikos41125:44
13Iraklis FC41122:94
14Athens Kallithea41033:53
15Ellas Syrou41038:133
16AEL Larissa40134:91
17Kavala40133:81
18Marko40134:101
19Ilioupoli40041:100
20PAE Egaleo40041:130
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)