Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Panionios vs Ellopiakos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 Nea Smyrni Stadium, Athens
Panionios Logo

Panionios

5 - 0
FT
Ellopiakos Logo

Ellopiakos

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Panionios and Ellopiakos finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Panionios.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Panionios
20%
Draws
40%
Ellopiakos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Panionios carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Panionios are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Panionios Clean Sheet 20%
Ellopiakos Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panionios Ellopiakos
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.74 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.42 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Panionios vs Ellopiakos
5:0
Dec 2, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ellopiakos vs Panionios
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panionios 49 / 100
Ellopiakos 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panionios Ellopiakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panionios Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Panionios scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Ellopiakos has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Panionios remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Panionios VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Panionios

(Home)
19 Sept
Karditsa
0 : 0
Panionios
14 Sept
Panionios
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
06 Sept
Panionios
2 : 0
Asteras Tripolis B
19 Aug
Niki Volos
1 : 0
Panionios
12 Aug
Panionios
1 : 0
Kalamata
Page 1 of 7

Ellopiakos

(Away)
28 Apr
Ellopiakos
3 : 3
Ipato
24 Apr
Ellopiakos
2 : 0
Ermis Zonianon
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
14 Apr
Ellopiakos
1 : 0
Chaidari
07 Apr
Panionios
5 : 0
Ellopiakos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)