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Panserraikos vs Panetolikos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Dimotiko Stadio Serron, Serres
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Garcia J.
Assist: Aleksic K.
35'
Sub
Tsaousis M. In: Armougom Y.
Out: Tsaousis M.
38'
Sub
Garcia J. In: Aguirre J.
Out: Garcia J.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Panserraikos and Panetolikos finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Panserraikos
15%
Draws
48%
Panetolikos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Panetolikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Panserraikos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Panetolikos are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Panserraikos Clean Sheet 13%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panserraikos Panetolikos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super League
Panserraikos vs Panetolikos
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Panserraikos
2:3
Mar 22, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Panserraikos
0:0
Dec 8, 2025 Super League
Panserraikos vs Panetolikos
0:1
May 22, 2025 Super League
Panetolikos vs Panserraikos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panserraikos Compare

Top Goalscorer Feltes V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Panetolikos Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panserraikos 27 / 100
Panetolikos 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panserraikos Panetolikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panetolikos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panetolikos has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Panserraikos found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Panserraikos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Panserraikos VS Panetolikos
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Panserraikos

(Home)
03 Oct
Panthrakikos
1 : 1
Panserraikos
27 Sept
Panserraikos
4 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus B
20 Sept
Athens Kallithea
2 : 1
Panserraikos
17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1
Panserraikos
13 Sept
Panserraikos
1 : 0
Asteras Tripolis B
Page 1 of 6

Panetolikos

(Away)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Panetolikos
06 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 2
Panetolikos
29 Aug
Panetolikos
2 : 0
Kalamata
23 Aug
Panetolikos
3 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Atromitos 36 12 10 14 49:42 46
10 Kifisia 36 9 14 13 40:51 41
11 Asteras Tripolis 36 8 12 16 36:49 36
12 Panetolikos 36 9 9 18 35:51 36
13 AEL Larissa 36 5 15 16 34:56 30
14 Panserraikos 36 7 8 21 25:73 29
Relegation - Super League 2 (Main)