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Pantanal vs Corumbaense

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Sul-Matogrossense
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AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense game between Pantanal and Corumbaense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Pantanal
30%
Draws
54%
Corumbaense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Corumbaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pantanal come out ahead of Corumbaense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Corumbaense's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Pantanal Clean Sheet 19%
Corumbaense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pantanal Corumbaense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Corumbaense
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Pantanal
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pantanal 12 / 100
Corumbaense 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pantanal Corumbaense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corumbaense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pantanal's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Corumbaense has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Pantanal remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pantanal VS Corumbaense
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pantanal

(Home)
01 Mar
Pantanal
2 : 2
Ivinhema
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
18 Feb
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Pantanal
11 Feb
Bataguassu
1 : 1
Pantanal
07 Feb
Pantanal
2 : 3
Naviraiense
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Corumbaense

(Away)
18 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Corumbaense
15 Mar
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Operario MS
11 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
08 Mar
Dourados
1 : 1
Corumbaense
01 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 2
Corumbaense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 9 5 3 1 13:9 18
2 Operario MS 9 4 5 0 14:5 17
3 Corumbaense 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
4 Ivinhema 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
5 Bataguassu 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
6 Dourados 9 2 4 3 15:14 10
7 Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
8 Pantanal 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
9 Costa Rica 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
10 Aguia Negra 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)