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Pantanal vs Coxim

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Fernando L.
45' Event
Flavio Rene
51' Event
Flavio Rene

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2025 game between Pantanal and Coxim finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pantanal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Pantanal
30%
Draws
54%
Coxim
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coxim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Pantanal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Pantanal have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pantanal Clean Sheet 18%
Coxim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pantanal Coxim
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 12 6
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.39 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Coxim
4:1
Feb 18, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Coxim
2:1
Jan 21, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Pantanal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pantanal Compare

Top Goalscorer Flavio Rene
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leo Itaperuna
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Coxim Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernando L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pantanal 32 / 100
Coxim 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pantanal Coxim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Coxim conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Pantanal found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Pantanal stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pantanal VS Coxim
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pantanal

(Home)
01 Mar
Pantanal
2 : 2
Ivinhema
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
18 Feb
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Pantanal
11 Feb
Bataguassu
1 : 1
Pantanal
07 Feb
Pantanal
2 : 3
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 7

Coxim

(Away)
02 Mar
Coxim
0 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Coxim
16 Feb
Coxim
2 : 1
Aguia Negra
09 Feb
Coxim
0 : 2
Ivinhema
05 Feb
Dourados
2 : 2
Coxim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivinhema 9 6 1 2 21:7 19
2 Pantanal 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
3 Dourados 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
4 Operario MS 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
5 Costa Rica 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Aguia Negra 9 3 2 4 14:14 11
7 Naviraiense 9 2 3 4 11:14 9
8 Corumbaense 9 2 2 5 8:14 8
9 Coxim 9 2 1 6 7:18 7
10 Aquidauanense 9 1 1 7 12:29 4
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 (Main)