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Pantanal vs Naviraiense

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal Logo

Pantanal

2 - 3
FT
Naviraiense Logo

Naviraiense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Naviraiense in this Sul-Matogrossense matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naviraiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Pantanal
35%
Draws
52%
Naviraiense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Naviraiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Naviraiense have won more games recently than Pantanal.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Naviraiense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pantanal Clean Sheet 16%
Naviraiense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pantanal Naviraiense
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.4 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Naviraiense
2:3
Feb 7, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Naviraiense
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pantanal 28 / 100
Naviraiense 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pantanal Naviraiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naviraiense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Pantanal scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Naviraiense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Pantanal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pantanal VS Naviraiense
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pantanal

(Home)
01 Mar
Pantanal
2 : 2
Ivinhema
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
18 Feb
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Pantanal
11 Feb
Bataguassu
1 : 1
Pantanal
07 Feb
Pantanal
2 : 3
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 6

Naviraiense

(Away)
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
01 Mar
Aguia Negra
1 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Naviraiense
0 : 0
Operario MS
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 9 5 3 1 13:9 18
2 Operario MS 9 4 5 0 14:5 17
3 Corumbaense 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
4 Ivinhema 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
5 Bataguassu 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
6 Dourados 9 2 4 3 15:14 10
7 Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
8 Pantanal 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
9 Costa Rica 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
10 Aguia Negra 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)