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PAOK Alexandreia vs Niki Agkathia

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2020/2021
Sun, Jan 24, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PAOK Alexandreia host Niki Agkathia in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2020/2021. Niki Agkathia go into this one as the clear favorite. Niki Agkathia have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while PAOK Alexandreia have conceded 3.21 and scored 0.79. Past meetings favor Niki Agkathia slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 2.06) point toward Niki Agkathia. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
PAOK Alexandreia
15%
Draws
69%
Niki Agkathia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Niki Agkathia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Niki Agkathia lately — more wins on the board than PAOK Alexandreia.
  • Win probability leans Niki Agkathia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
PAOK Alexandreia Clean Sheet 10%
Niki Agkathia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAOK Alexandreia Niki Agkathia
Matches Played 14 14
Wins 1 6
Draws 1 2
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.79 1.07
Goals Conceded 3.21 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
PAOK Alexandreia vs Niki Agkathia
0:0
Oct 21, 2020 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Niki Agkathia vs PAOK Alexandreia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAOK Alexandreia 10 / 100
Niki Agkathia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAOK Alexandreia Niki Agkathia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niki Agkathia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Niki Agkathia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 14 matches.

PAOK Alexandreia's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: PAOK Alexandreia stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PAOK Alexandreia VS Niki Agkathia
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

PAOK Alexandreia

(Home)
06 Jun
PAOK Alexandreia
1 : 2
Nea Kallikrateia
30 May
Aetos Varvaras
6 : 3
PAOK Alexandreia
26 May
PAOK Alexandreia
3 : 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa
23 May
Makedonikos Neapolis
5 : 1
PAOK Alexandreia
16 May
PAOK Alexandreia
1 : 6
Anagennisi Plagia
Page 1 of 3

Niki Agkathia

(Away)
06 Jun
Niki Agkathia
3 : 2
Aetos Varvaras
30 May
Ethnikos Giannitsa
1 : 1
Niki Agkathia
26 May
Niki Agkathia
1 : 0
Makedonikos Neapolis
23 May
Anagennisi Plagia
0 : 1
Niki Agkathia
16 May
Edessaikos
0 : 3
Niki Agkathia
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poseidonas Michanionas 14 12 2 0 27:6 38
2 Keravnos Anchelochori 14 8 2 4 23:15 26
3 Thermaikos FC 14 8 1 5 24:18 25
4 A. Asteras 14 8 1 5 23:21 25
5 Makedonikos Neapolis 14 6 6 2 27:10 24
6 Anagennisi Plagia 14 6 4 4 20:12 22
7 AS Giannitsa 14 7 1 6 23:15 22
8 M. Alexandros Trikala 14 6 3 5 20:18 21
9 Edessaikos 14 6 3 5 16:19 21
10 Niki Agkathia 14 6 2 6 15:16 20
11 Nea Kallikrateia 14 4 3 7 15:20 15
12 Aetos Varvaras 14 4 2 8 21:27 14
13 Ethnikos Giannitsa 14 3 2 9 17:26 11
14 PAO Koufalion 14 1 5 8 8:22 8
15 PAOK Alexandreia 14 1 1 12 11:45 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion - Play Offs)