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PAOK Kristonis vs Iraklis Thermaikou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

PAOK Kristonis host Iraklis Thermaikou in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: PAOK Kristonis at 1.38 goals for, 1.63 against; Iraklis Thermaikou at 1.25 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor PAOK Kristonis slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 14, 2025, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.44) back Iraklis Thermaikou to edge this. Iraklis Thermaikou in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
PAOK Kristonis
6%
Draws
90%
Iraklis Thermaikou
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Iraklis Thermaikou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Iraklis Thermaikou has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to PAOK Kristonis.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Iraklis Thermaikou.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
PAOK Kristonis Clean Sheet 16%
Iraklis Thermaikou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAOK Kristonis Iraklis Thermaikou
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
PAOK Kristonis vs Iraklis Thermaikou
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Iraklis Thermaikou vs PAOK Kristonis
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAOK Kristonis 10 / 100
Iraklis Thermaikou 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAOK Kristonis Iraklis Thermaikou

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PAOK Kristonis scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Iraklis Thermaikou let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

PAOK Kristonis went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Iraklis Thermaikou lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PAOK Kristonis VS Iraklis Thermaikou
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panthrakikos22163352:1651
2Xanthi22128248:1744
3Doxa Dramas22134541:2543
4Iraklis Thermaikou22108431:1838
5Poseidonas Michanionas22810428:2234
6Aetos Ofryniou22103937:3733
7PAOK Kristonis2278724:2829
8Krya Vrysi2268829:3026
9Thermaikos FC22641219:3222
10Kilkisiakos22561126:3821
11PAOK Dytikou22371221:4216
12Orestis Orestiadas22112012:634