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PAOK Kristonis vs Iraklis Thermaikou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PAOK Kristonis in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored PAOK Kristonis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
PAOK Kristonis
20%
Draws
63%
Iraklis Thermaikou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iraklis Thermaikou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Iraklis Thermaikou lately — more wins on the board than PAOK Kristonis.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Iraklis Thermaikou taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
PAOK Kristonis Clean Sheet 10%
Iraklis Thermaikou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAOK Kristonis Iraklis Thermaikou
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
PAOK Kristonis vs Iraklis Thermaikou
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Iraklis Thermaikou vs PAOK Kristonis
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAOK Kristonis 10 / 100
Iraklis Thermaikou 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAOK Kristonis Iraklis Thermaikou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraklis Thermaikou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PAOK Kristonis scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Iraklis Thermaikou conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

PAOK Kristonis has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

PAOK Kristonis VS Iraklis Thermaikou
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

PAOK Kristonis

(Home)
03 Oct
Mpam
3 : 1
PAOK Kristonis
27 Sept
Poseidonas Michanionas
5 : 1
PAOK Kristonis
08 Apr
Kilkisiakos
2 : 0
PAOK Kristonis
05 Apr
PAOK Kristonis
3 : 1
Orestis Orestiadas
01 Apr
Thermaikos FC
3 : 2
PAOK Kristonis
Page 1 of 6

Iraklis Thermaikou

(Away)
03 Oct
Iraklis Thermaikou
2 : 0
Panedessaikos
27 Sept
Agiou Nikolaou
1 : 1
Iraklis Thermaikou
08 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
0 : 0
Xanthi
05 Apr
Doxa Dramas
0 : 2
Iraklis Thermaikou
01 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
2 : 1
Poseidonas Michanionas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panthrakikos 22 16 3 3 52:16 51
2 Xanthi 22 12 8 2 48:17 44
3 Doxa Dramas 22 13 4 5 41:25 43
4 Iraklis Thermaikou 22 10 8 4 31:18 38
5 Poseidonas Michanionas 22 8 10 4 28:22 34
6 Aetos Ofryniou 22 10 3 9 37:37 33
7 PAOK Kristonis 22 7 8 7 24:28 29
8 Krya Vrysi 22 6 8 8 29:30 26
9 Thermaikos FC 22 6 4 12 19:32 22
10 Kilkisiakos 22 5 6 11 26:38 21
11 PAOK Dytikou 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Orestis Orestiadas 22 1 1 20 12:63 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 (Losers stage)