Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PAOK vs Anderlecht

Europe Europe

Europa League Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Cvetkovic M.
Assist: Llansana E.
36' Event
Michailidis G.
Penalty Missed
36'
Mythou A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
PAOK
15%
Draws
50%
Anderlecht
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Anderlecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Anderlecht haven't matched PAOK's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • PAOK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Anderlecht, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
PAOK Clean Sheet 18%
Anderlecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAOK Anderlecht
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Europa League
PAOK vs Anderlecht
0:1
Jul 23, 2019 Club Friendly
Anderlecht vs PAOK
1:3
Jun 29, 2018 Club Friendly
PAOK vs Anderlecht
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PAOK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Anderlecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Cvetkovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAOK 36 / 100
Anderlecht 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAOK Anderlecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anderlecht has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Attacking prowess: PAOK scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: PAOK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PAOK VS Anderlecht
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PAOK

(Home)
06 Aug
PAOK
0 : 1
Anderlecht
30 Jul
PAOK
2 : 0
Dynamo Kyiv
23 Jul
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 3
PAOK
11 Jul
PAOK
2 : 3
Twente
07 Jul
PAOK
3 : 2
AEK Larnaca
Page 1 of 6

Anderlecht

(Away)
06 Aug
PAOK
0 : 1
Anderlecht
30 Jul
Anderlecht
3 : 1
Hammarby
23 Jul
Hammarby
1 : 1
Anderlecht
15 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1
Anderlecht
11 Jul
Anderlecht
3 : 2
Nijmegen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
TBD -
Vojvodina 1
Ferencvaros 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 3
Zilina 2
TBD -
Pafos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salzburg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Universitatea Cluj 0
TBD -
PAOK -
Hammarby -
TBD -
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Klaksvik -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Besiktas -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Gallen -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol 1
Aluminij 0
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Qarabag Agdam 6
Vestri 0
CSKA Sofia 5
Derry City 3
Quarter-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente 3
Ferencvaros 4
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 2
Pafos 4
TBD -
Salzburg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 2
PAOK 5
Hammarby 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
Klaksvik -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso 1
Hradec Kralove 4
Besiktas 3
Midtjylland 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Gallen 2
Benfica 6
TBD -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 6
Qarabag Agdam 0
CSKA Sofia 1
Semi-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Ferencvaros 1
Gornik Zabrze 0
KuPS 1
Univ. Craiova 1
TBD -
TBD -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 1
Omonia 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers 3
KF Egnatia 1
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia 2
Rangers 1
Larne 0
Iberia 1999 0
TBD -
TBD -
Pafos 0
Salzburg 1
TBD -
TBD -
PAOK 0
Anderlecht 1
Lech Poznan 1
Klaksvik 0
Thun 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Hradec Kralove 0
Besiktas 1
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica 6
Hearts 1
TBD -
TBD -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv 0
CSKA Sofia 3
Final
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
OFI Crete -
TBD -