Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PAOK vs Levadiakos

Greece Greece

Super League Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Shoretire S.
Assist: Zivkovic A.
41' Event
Pelkas D.
Assist: Zivkovic A.
46'
Sub
Papadopoulos C. In: Goumas K.
Out: Papadopoulos C.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between PAOK and Levadiakos finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PAOK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
PAOK
20%
Draws
7%
Levadiakos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PAOK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Levadiakos haven't matched PAOK's recent run of results.
  • Model gives PAOK a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and PAOK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
PAOK Clean Sheet 20%
Levadiakos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAOK Levadiakos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.87 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Super League
PAOK vs Levadiakos
4:0
Mar 15, 2026 Super League
PAOK vs Levadiakos
3:0
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Levadiakos vs PAOK
2:3
Sep 17, 2025 Greek Cup
Levadiakos vs PAOK
4:1
Jan 26, 2025 Super League
PAOK vs Levadiakos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PAOK Compare

Top Goalscorer Shoretire S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pelkas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Levadiakos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAOK 85 / 100
Levadiakos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAOK Levadiakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PAOK scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Levadiakos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

PAOK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PAOK VS Levadiakos
2 Goals Scored 0.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PAOK

(Home)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
PAOK
02 Sept
PAOK
0 : 0
OFI Crete
Page 1 of 6

Levadiakos

(Away)
20 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
13 Sept
Kifisia
0 : 0
Levadiakos
06 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 2
Panetolikos
31 Aug
Levadiakos
0 : 2
Panathinaikos
23 Aug
PAOK
4 : 0
Levadiakos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 12:2 15
2 PAOK 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 AEK 5 3 2 0 13:3 11
4 OFI Crete 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Panetolikos 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 5:10 7
8 Iraklis FC 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
9 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
10 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
11 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
12 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
13 Volos 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
14 Levadiakos 5 0 1 4 0:9 1
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)