Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PAOK vs Marko

Greece Greece

Greek Cup 2025/2026 Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Konstantelias G.
26' Event
Mythou A.
37' Event
Konstantelias G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with PAOK advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
PAOK
20%
Draws
38%
Marko
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PAOK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PAOK come out ahead of Marko on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans PAOK's way, sitting at 36%.
  • PAOK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor PAOK, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
PAOK Clean Sheet 20%
Marko Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAOK Marko
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.79 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 17, 2025 Greek Cup
PAOK vs Marko
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PAOK Compare

Top Goalscorer Konstantelias G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mythou A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Marko Compare

Top Goalscorer Muller I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAOK 36 / 100
Marko 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAOK Marko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

PAOK scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: PAOK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Marko has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

PAOK VS Marko
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

PAOK

(Home)
06 Aug
PAOK
0 : 1
Anderlecht
30 Jul
PAOK
2 : 0
Dynamo Kyiv
23 Jul
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 3
PAOK
11 Jul
PAOK
2 : 3
Twente
07 Jul
PAOK
3 : 2
AEK Larnaca
Page 1 of 6

Marko

(Away)
21 Mar
Marko
0 : 0
Kalamata
15 Mar
Marko
2 : 1
Panionios
07 Mar
Olympiacos Piraeus B
0 : 3
Marko
01 Mar
Kalamata
2 : 0
Marko
21 Feb
Panionios
0 : 0
Marko
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 4 0 0 18:3 12
2 Levadiakos 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
3 AEK 4 4 0 0 6:1 12
4 Panathinaikos 4 4 0 0 6:2 12
5 Aris 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
6 OFI Crete 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
7 Volos 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
8 PAOK 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
9 Atromitos 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
10 Kifisia 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 Asteras Tripolis 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
12 Panetolikos 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
13 Iraklis FC 4 1 1 2 2:9 4
14 Athens Kallithea 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
15 Ellas Syrou 4 1 0 3 8:13 3
16 AEL Larissa 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
17 Kavala 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 Marko 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
19 Ilioupoli 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
20 PAE Egaleo 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)