Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PAOK vs OFI Crete

Greece Greece

Greek Cup Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Sub
Santamaria B. In: Shoretire S.
Out: Santamaria B.
45'
Poungouras A.
59'
Gonzalez B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
PAOK
20%
Draws
45%
OFI Crete
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OFI Crete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • PAOK have won more games recently than OFI Crete.
  • PAOK are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • PAOK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor OFI Crete, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
PAOK Clean Sheet 13%
OFI Crete Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAOK OFI Crete
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.97 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Greek Cup
PAOK vs OFI Crete
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Greek Cup
PAOK vs OFI Crete
2:3
Jan 18, 2026 Super League
PAOK vs OFI Crete
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Super League
OFI Crete vs PAOK
1:2
Feb 8, 2025 Super League
OFI Crete vs PAOK
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAOK 48 / 100
OFI Crete 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAOK OFI Crete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PAOK scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

OFI Crete let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: PAOK stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PAOK VS OFI Crete
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PAOK

(Home)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
PAOK
02 Sept
PAOK
0 : 0
OFI Crete
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OFI Crete

(Away)
20 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
17 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
09 Sept
OFI Crete
3 : 0
Chrisoupolis
06 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Kifisia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK 2 2 0 0 10:1 6
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Panathinaikos 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Asteras Tripolis 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
5 OFI Crete 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
6 Aris 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 PAOK 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 Atromitos 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Kalamata 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
10 Volos 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
11 Marko 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
12 Kifisia 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
13 AEL Larissa 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
14 Niki Volos 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
15 Chrisoupolis 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
16 Panserraikos 2 0 0 2 1:9 0
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)