Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PAOK vs Panathinaikos

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
PAOK Logo

PAOK

0 - 0
FT
Panathinaikos Logo

Panathinaikos

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Taison
64'
Sub
Pellistri F. In: Zaroury A.
Out: Pellistri F.
66'
Sub
Jeremejeff A. In: Giakoumakis G.
Out: Jeremejeff A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
PAOK
20%
Draws
38%
Panathinaikos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PAOK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Medium Confidence
  • PAOK have won more games recently than Panathinaikos.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on PAOK taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
PAOK Clean Sheet 12%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAOK Panathinaikos
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super League
Panathinaikos vs PAOK
2:2
Apr 5, 2026 Super League
PAOK vs Panathinaikos
0:0
Feb 11, 2026 Greek Cup
PAOK vs Panathinaikos
2:0
Feb 4, 2026 Greek Cup
Panathinaikos vs PAOK
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Super League
PAOK vs Panathinaikos
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAOK 40 / 100
Panathinaikos 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAOK Panathinaikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PAOK found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Panathinaikos let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

PAOK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PAOK VS Panathinaikos
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

PAOK

(Home)
06 Aug
PAOK
0 : 1
Anderlecht
30 Jul
PAOK
2 : 0
Dynamo Kyiv
23 Jul
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 3
PAOK
11 Jul
PAOK
2 : 3
Twente
07 Jul
PAOK
3 : 2
AEK Larnaca
Page 1 of 6

Panathinaikos

(Away)
05 Aug
Panathinaikos
1 : 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia
30 Jul
Panathinaikos
2 : 2
Paks
23 Jul
Paks
1 : 2
Panathinaikos
15 Jul
Rapid Vienna
4 : 1
Panathinaikos
11 Jul
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Grasshoppers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK 32 21 9 2 57:20 72
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 32 19 9 4 51:17 66
3 PAOK 32 18 10 4 59:25 64
4 Panathinaikos 32 14 10 8 47:33 52
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)